Challenge Cup predictions 2026

Challenge Cup (Scotland)

The Ghost's probability for every Challenge Cup match it has priced in the next two weeks: the result, over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and the likeliest score. Each is worked out from football alone, never from a bookmaker's price.

Match1X2O2.5BTTSScore
Aberdeen U21 vs Queen's Park

The Ghost: under 4.5 goals, 71%
12% 18% 70% 70% 60% 1–2
Airdrie United vs Elgin City

The Ghost: under 3.5 goals, 61%
70% 20% 11% 61% 52% 2–0
Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd

The Ghost: under 4.5 goals, 74%
8% 16% 76% 66% 51% 0–2
Arbroath vs Queen of the South

The Ghost: Arbroath to win, 56%
56% 26% 19% 52% 53% 1–1
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline

The Ghost: Dunfermline over 1.5 goals, 68%
8% 18% 74% 58% 45% 0–2
Clydebank vs Alloa Athletic

The Ghost: double chance Clydebank or Alloa Athletic, 74%
42% 26% 32% 62% 65% 1–1
East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion

The Ghost: Stirling Albion over 0.5 goals, 69%
71% 17% 12% 76% 66% 2–1
Edinburgh City vs Partick

The Ghost: under 4.5 goals, 74%
4% 12% 84% 67% 40% 0–2
Formartine United vs Cove Rangers

The Ghost: double chance Formartine United or Cove Rangers, 74%
18% 26% 56% 50% 51% 1–1
Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers

The Ghost: Raith Rovers to win, 48%
25% 28% 48% 52% 56% 1–1
Inverness CT vs Montrose

The Ghost: double chance Inverness CT or Montrose, 81%
71% 19% 10% 62% 52% 2–0
Morton vs Kelty Hearts

The Ghost: double chance Morton or Kelty Hearts, 81%
72% 19% 9% 59% 48% 2–0
Ross County vs Celtic II

The Ghost: over 3.5 goals, 77% (low confidence: the market says 68%)
94% 4% 1% 89% 49% 4–0
Spartans vs Livingston

The Ghost: double chance Spartans or Livingston, 83%
8% 17% 75% 63% 48% 0–2
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers

The Ghost: Stenhousemuir over 1.5 goals, 80%
88% 10% 2% 66% 31% 2–0
St. Mirren U21 vs Peterhead

The Ghost: double chance St. Mirren U21 or Peterhead, 77%
44.8% 23% 32% 72% 72% 1–1