Edinburgh City vs Partick prediction, stats & H2H

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Partick to score about 2.3 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 2 meetings: Edinburgh City won 0, 0 drawn, Partick won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-2 (13%). Confidence: Low.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Edinburgh City attack scores 12% less than average, against Partick defence, which lets in 62% fewer than average: 0.75 goals (an average side here: 2.23)
• Partick attack scores 65% more than average, against Edinburgh City defence, which lets in 13% fewer than average: 2.69 goals (an average side here: 1.87)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Edinburgh City 0.55, Partick 2.88.

Ratings from 143 matches for Edinburgh City and 141 for Partick, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Edinburgh City score 2.1 a game — 70th percentile in this competition.
• Both teams have scored in 7 of Edinburgh City’s last 10.
• Edinburgh City have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–2 13.4%
2. 0–3 12.9%
3. 0–4 9.3%
4. 0–1 8.7%
5. 1–2 7.4%
6. 1–3 7.1%
7. 1–1 5.8%
8. 0–5 5.4%