Spartans vs Livingston prediction, stats & H2H
Spartans stats & fixtures · Livingston stats & fixtures
Spartans take on Livingston in the Challenge Cup (Round of 32) on 3 November 2026. The Ghost makes Livingston favourites at 75%, with the draw at 17%. The likeliest score is 0–2, at 12.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Spartans vs Livingston prediction
The Ghost: double chance Spartans or Livingston, 83%
- 8%Spartans fair odds 13.01
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.92
- 75%Livingston fair odds 1.33
Most likely score 0-2 (12.4%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Livingston to score about 1.8 more. It projects as a high-scoring match.
High confidence — Fitted on 5098 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Spartans
Attack 1.00 · Defence 0.69
Last five: WWLDW, scored 9, conceded 7
Livingston
Attack 1.81 · Defence 0.40
Last five: WWDLL, scored 6, conceded 4
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 3 meetings: Spartans won 1, 1 drawn, Livingston won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Spartans attack scores about the average, against Livingston defence, which lets in 60% fewer than average: 0.90 goals (an average side here: 2.23)
- Livingston attack scores 81% more than average, against Spartans defence, which lets in 31% fewer than average: 2.34 goals (an average side here: 1.87)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Spartans 0.72, Livingston 2.51.
Ratings from 151 matches for Spartans and 114 for Livingston, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Livingston win 6.5 corners a game — 92nd percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 1 of Livingston’s last 10.
- Livingston have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.93 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 12.4%
- 0–3 10.4%
- 1–2 9.0%
- 0–1 8.9%
- 1–1 8.1%
- 1–3 7.5%
- 0–4 6.5%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Spartans
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Livingston
- 12 R. Muirhead —
- 18 M. Robertson —
- 1 J. Prior —
- 17 S. May —
- 7 T. Sinclair Attacker
- 8 S. Pittman —
- 5 B. Kabongolo —
- 39 L. Polworth —
- 3 B. Fati —
- 40 G. Carey —
- 22 J. Doherty Defender
Form guide
Spartans at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Livingston away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Spartans vs Livingston head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Spartans v Livingston | 0–2 | |
| Livingston v Spartans | 0–1 | |
| Spartans v Livingston | 0–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away clean sheet | 48% | 2.06 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 25% | 4.07 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.09 |
| Home clean sheet | 8% | 12.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.01 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 26.90 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 2% | 44.03 |