Clydebank vs Alloa Athletic prediction, stats & H2H

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Clydebank to score about 0.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 19% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5098 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last meeting: Clydebank won 0, 1 drawn, Alloa Athletic won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Clydebank attack scores 27% more than average, against Alloa Athletic defence, which lets in 40% fewer than average: 1.70 goals (an average side here: 2.23)
• Alloa Athletic attack scores 9% more than average, against Clydebank defence, which lets in 26% fewer than average: 1.51 goals (an average side here: 1.87)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Clydebank 1.73, Alloa Athletic 1.48.

Ratings from 62 matches for Clydebank and 147 for Alloa Athletic, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Clydebank score 3 a game — 98th percentile in this competition.
• Alloa Athletic win 5 corners a game — 77th percentile in this competition.
• Alloa Athletic score 1 a game — 30th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 11.7%
2. 2–1 8.9%
3. 1–2 7.6%
4. 2–2 6.6%
5. 2–0 6.0%
6. 1–0 5.6%
7. 0–0 5.4%
8. 3–1 5.2%