East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion prediction, stats & H2H

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects East Kilbride to score about 1.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 19% in this competition. It projects as a high-scoring match.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 5098 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.19× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last meeting: East Kilbride won 1, 0 drawn, Stirling Albion won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 2-1 (9%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• East Kilbride attack scores 36% more than average, against Stirling Albion defence, which lets in 12% fewer than average: 2.66 goals (an average side here: 2.23)
• Stirling Albion attack scores 7% less than average, against East Kilbride defence, which lets in 21% fewer than average: 1.36 goals (an average side here: 1.87)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on East Kilbride 2.83, Stirling Albion 1.19.

Ratings from 144 matches for East Kilbride and 143 for Stirling Albion, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• East Kilbride have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
• Stirling Albion have kept 1 clean sheet in 10.
• East Kilbride score 2.3 a game — 81st percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 2–1 8.6%
2. 3–1 8.1%
3. 2–0 7.2%
4. 1–1 6.8%
5. 3–0 6.8%
6. 4–1 5.7%
7. 2–2 5.1%
8. 4–0 4.8%