Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading match stats & report
1–5 Full time
Milton Keynes Dons stats & fixtures · Reading stats & fixtures
Milton Keynes Dons lost to Reading 1–5 in League One on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.80–3.59. Milton Keynes Dons had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Milton Keynes Dons 33%, the draw 28% and Reading 39%.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading match statistics
- 55% Ball possession 45%
- 0.80 Expected goals (xG) 3.59
- 11 Total shots 13
- 4 Shots on target 6
- 3 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 5 Shots inside the box 10
- 2 Corners 5
- 13 Fouls 7
- 1 Offsides 7
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 408 Passes 333
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 28' Yellow card H. Roberts Reading
- 38' Goal P. Lane (assist U. Godwin-Malife) Reading
- 47' Own goal C. Bramall Reading
- 64' Goal Kyreece Lisbie Reading
- 73' Yellow card M. Ekpiteta Milton Keynes Dons
- 80' Goal Kyreece Lisbie Reading
- 85' Goal A. Collins (assist S. Silvera) Milton Keynes Dons
- 87' Goal J. Brown (assist J. Stokes) Reading
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 33%Milton Keynes Dons fair odds 3.00
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.60
- 39%Reading fair odds 2.57
Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.71 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.12 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.36 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Milton Keynes Dons 6.1 · Reading 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Milton Keynes Dons 1.6 · Reading 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Milton Keynes Dons 3.9 · Reading 4.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (518 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.2%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 0–0 7.6%
- 0–1 7.6%
- 1–0 6.8%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Milton Keynes Dons
Bench I. Fullah , A. Gilbey , J. Sanders , S. Silvera , S. Troso , S. Stacey , Keon Lewis-Burgess
Reading
Bench R. Williams , J. Stevens , C. Savage , C. Masterson , D. Kyerewaa , L. Fraser , J. Brown
Form guide
Milton Keynes Dons at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Reading away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
41% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Reading v Milton Keynes Dons | 3–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.77 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.44 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.00 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.59 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.66 |