Exeter City vs Rotherham match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Exeter City stats & fixtures · Rotherham stats & fixtures
Exeter City beat Rotherham 1–0 in League Two on 3 October 2026. Rotherham had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Exeter City 37%, the draw 31% and Rotherham 32%.
Exeter City vs Rotherham match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 16 Total shots 7
- 7 Shots on target 0
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 11 Shots inside the box 6
- 8 Corners 2
- 8 Fouls 13
- 3 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 353 Passes 397
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 43' Yellow card L. Woodhouse Exeter City
- 51' Goal A. Scully (assist George Birch) Exeter City
- 58' Yellow card D. Iorfa Rotherham
- 90+2' Yellow card C. Cummins Exeter City
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 37%Exeter City fair odds 2.71
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.18
- 32%Rotherham fair odds 3.15
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.92 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.72 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.66 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.94 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.4
Exeter City 5.1 · Rotherham 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Exeter City 1.6 · Rotherham 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.4
Exeter City 3.6 · Rotherham 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (531 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 11.5%
- 1–0 10.3%
- 0–1 9.2%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 1–2 7.3%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 0–2 6.1%
Team news & lineups
Exeter City
Bench S. Cox , G. Edwards , H. Kite , Liam Oakes , Frankie Phillips , Ethan Sutherland , L. Cayless
Rotherham
Bench K. Spence , J. Rafferty , A. Nemane , H. Douglas , T. Cann , T. Bradshaw , E. Adegboyega
Form guide
Exeter City at home
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rotherham away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.3 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Exeter City vs Rotherham head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter City v Rotherham | 0–4 | |
| Rotherham v Exeter City | 1–0 | |
| Rotherham v Exeter City | 1–1 | |
| Exeter City v Rotherham | 1–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.02 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.71 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 6.06 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.48 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.90 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.19 |