Guatemala vs Suriname match stats & report

1–0 Full time

CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 2 · Estadio El Trébol, Ciudad de Guatemala

Guatemala stats & fixtures · Suriname stats & fixtures

Guatemala beat Suriname 1–0 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League A - 2) on 6 October 2026. Guatemala had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Guatemala 51%, the draw 28% and Suriname 20%.

Guatemala vs Suriname match statistics

GuatemalaSuriname

Goals and cards

  1. 34' Yellow card K. Paal Suriname
  2. 60' Yellow card W. Fajardo Guatemala
  3. 63' Red card R. Margaret Suriname
  4. 90+2' Yellow card Matthew Evans Guatemala
  5. 90+6' Goal Matthew Evans (assist O. Escobar) Guatemala
  6. 90+11' Yellow card J. Bantes Guatemala

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals45%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.15
Over 4.5 goals11%9.26
Under 0.5 goals10%10.20
Under 1.5 goals27%3.66
Under 2.5 goals55%1.83
Under 3.5 goals76%1.32
Under 4.5 goals89%1.12
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.04
Both teams to score: No51%1.96

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Guatemala 4.8 · Suriname 4.1

Total cornersOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.564%36%
8.552%48%
9.539%61%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 3.4

Guatemala 1.6 · Suriname 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.544%56%
4.526%74%
5.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.7

Guatemala 4.1 · Suriname 4.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.575%25%
7.563%37%
8.550%50%
9.538%62%
10.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.5%
  2. 1–0 11.5%
  3. 2–0 10.3%
  4. 0–0 9.8%
  5. 2–1 9.4%
  6. 0–1 6.0%
  7. 1–2 5.4%
  8. 3–0 5.4%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Guatemala at home

3–0–1 in 4 matches

Scored
3.0 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 4
Corners
8.0 per game
Shots on target
6.8 per game

Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Suriname away

1–1–3 in 5 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 5
Corners
2.5 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Guatemala vs Suriname head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Suriname v Guatemala 0–0
Guatemala v Suriname 3–1
Suriname v Guatemala 1–1

Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Guatemala vs Suriname head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home clean sheet 40% 2.49
Home -1.5 handicap 28% 3.57
Home +0.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home -0.5 handicap 51% 1.94
Home/Draw double chance 80% 1.25
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Home Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.13
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.26
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.72
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.40
Away +1.5 handicap 72% 1.39
Away +0.5 handicap 49% 2.06
Draw/Away double chance 49% 2.06
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.67
Away clean sheet 21% 4.86
Away -0.5 handicap 20% 4.95
Away Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.31
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 13.71
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 15.38