Japan vs Venezuela match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Japan beat Venezuela 2–1 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 28 September 2026. Japan had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Japan 66%, the draw 22% and Venezuela 12%.
Japan vs Venezuela match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 12 Total shots 9
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 5 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 7
- 1 Corners 7
- 14 Fouls 15
- 0 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 473 Passes 439
- 88% Pass accuracy 87%
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 46' Goal K. Kelsy (assist L. Balbo) Venezuela
- 49' Goal A. Ueda (assist Junya Ito) Japan
- 65' Yellow card J. Aramburu Venezuela
- 90+1' Yellow card J. Contreras Venezuela
- 90+6' Penalty scored A. Ueda Japan
- 90+8' Yellow card A. Tanaka Japan
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 66%Japan fair odds 1.51
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.58
- 12%Venezuela fair odds 8.23
Most likely score 2-0 (11.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.81 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 15.22 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.01 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Japan 5.6 · Venezuela 2.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Japan 1.3 · Venezuela 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Japan 5.7 · Venezuela 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4426 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.9%
- 1–1 10.4%
- 1–0 10.1%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 3–0 8.4%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 0–0 6.6%
- 4–0 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Japan
Bench S. Tanaka , Z. Suzuki , A. Tanaka , Junya Ito , T. Kubo , A. Ueda , H. Ito , R. Doan , K. Nakamura , K. Tanimura , T. Hayakawa , Y. Suzuki , K. Sano , K. Sano , D. Maeda
Venezuela
Bench Jesús Ramírez , C. Cásseres , W. Carmona , G. Mendoza , J. Graterol , C. Varela , B. Tamayo , C. Vivas , Teo Quintero , D. Alfonzo , S. Mendoza , E. Tortolero , Jhonder Cádiz , J. Bolívar
Form guide
Japan at home
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.9 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Venezuela away
1–2–3 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Japan vs Venezuela head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Japan v Venezuela | 1–4 | |
| Japan v Venezuela | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 5.08 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.24 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.33 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.23 |
| Home clean sheet | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 25.28 |