Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki match stats & report

2–0 Full time

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 10 · Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima · Ref Hiroki Kasahara

Kashima stats & fixtures · V-varen Nagasaki stats & fixtures

Kashima beat V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 in the J1 League on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.30–1.33. V-varen Nagasaki had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kashima 60%, the draw 24% and V-varen Nagasaki 16%.

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki match statistics

KashimaV-varen Nagasaki

Goals and cards

  1. 2' Penalty scored Léo Ceará Kashima
  2. 5' Goal A. Čavrić (assist H. Hayashu) Kashima
  3. 23' Yellow card T. Matsumoto V-varen Nagasaki
  4. 43' Yellow card Jonathan V-varen Nagasaki
  5. 82' Yellow card K. Yasuda V-varen Nagasaki

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%6.66
Under 0.5 goals7%13.79
Under 1.5 goals22%4.55
Under 2.5 goals47%2.13
Under 3.5 goals70%1.44
Under 4.5 goals85%1.18
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.92
Both teams to score: No48%2.09

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

Kashima 5.3 · V-varen Nagasaki 3.8

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.554%46%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 2.7

Kashima 1.2 · V-varen Nagasaki 1.5

Total cardsOverUnder
0.593%7%
1.574%26%
2.550%50%
3.528%72%
4.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.2

Kashima 5.2 · V-varen Nagasaki 3.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.557%43%
8.544%56%
9.532%68%
10.522%78%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (288 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.5%
  2. 2–0 11.0%
  3. 1–0 10.6%
  4. 2–1 10.5%
  5. 0–0 7.3%
  6. 3–0 6.7%
  7. 3–1 6.3%
  8. 1–2 4.6%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Kashima at home

9–0–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.3 per game
Conceded
0.5 per game
Clean sheets
6 / 10
Corners
3.5 per game
Shots on target
4.5 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

V-varen Nagasaki away

1–2–7 in 10 matches

Scored
0.9 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
2.3 per game
Shots on target
2.5 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Draw/Away double chance 40% 2.49
Away +0.5 handicap 40% 2.49
Away clean sheet 15% 6.73
Away +1.5 handicap 65% 1.55
Home/Draw double chance 84% 1.19
Home +0.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Home +1.5 handicap 94% 1.06
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.67
Home Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.17
Home/Away double chance 76% 1.32
Home -0.5 handicap 60% 1.67
Away Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.34
Home Over 1.5 team goals 57% 1.77
Home -1.5 handicap 35% 2.83
Home clean sheet 40% 2.49
Away -0.5 handicap 16% 6.25
Home Over 2.5 team goals 29% 3.46
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 15.43
Away -1.5 handicap 6% 17.14