Exeter City vs Crewe prediction & stats
Exeter City stats & fixtures · Crewe stats & fixtures
Exeter City take on Crewe in League Two on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Exeter City favourites at 40%, with the draw at 34%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 42%.
Exeter City vs Crewe prediction
- 40%Exeter City fair odds 2.50
- 34%Draw fair odds 2.96
- 26%Crewe fair odds 3.80
Most likely score 1-1 (15.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.71 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 17.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.74 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| Both teams to score: No | 58% | 1.72 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Exeter City 5.2 · Crewe 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Exeter City 1.7 · Crewe 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.1
Exeter City 4.1 · Crewe 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 6.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 9.5 | 19% | 81% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.1%
- 0–0 14.8%
- 1–0 13.4%
- 0–1 9.8%
- 2–0 8.6%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 0–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Exeter City
- 3 L. Woodhouse Defender
- 16 C. Cummins Midfielder
- 2 L. Samuel Defender
- 5 J. Fitzwater Defender
- 20 George Birch —
- 8 T. Perry —
- 6 J. Taylor —
- 1 J. Bycroft Goalkeeper
- 31 J. Doyle-Hayes Midfielder
- 10 J. Gordon Attacker
- 25 A. Scully Midfielder
Crewe
- 6 L. Offord Defender
- 4 Kyle Ure Defender
- 1 T. Booth Goalkeeper
- 10 J. White Midfielder
- 14 J. Gibson Midfielder
- 2 L. Billington Defender
- 9 J. March Midfielder
- 11 J. Tabiner Midfielder
- 12 J. Stephenson Defender
- 19 O. Lunt Midfielder
- 29 A. Thibaut Attacker
Form guide
Exeter City at home
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crewe away
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home/Away double chance | 66% | 1.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.50 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.15 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.15 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.48 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.26 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.36 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.29 |