Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Shrewsbury stats & fixtures · Bristol Rovers stats & fixtures
Shrewsbury beat Bristol Rovers 1–0 in League Two on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.66–0.53. Bristol Rovers had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Shrewsbury 35%, the draw 31% and Bristol Rovers 33%.
Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 1.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
- 10 Total shots 8
- 3 Shots on target 1
- 4 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 8 Shots inside the box 5
- 6 Corners 3
- 15 Fouls 15
- 1 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 2 Red cards 0
- 280 Passes 344
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 10' Yellow card S. Forde Bristol Rovers
- 16' Yellow card J. Ruffels Shrewsbury
- 34' Yellow card Bristol Rovers
- 43' Yellow card G. Lloyd Shrewsbury
- 64' Yellow card Keenan Gough Bristol Rovers
- 77' Penalty scored G. Lloyd Shrewsbury
- 80' Red card J. Turner-Cooke Shrewsbury
- 88' Yellow card B. Purrington Bristol Rovers
- 90+4' Red card Isaac Andrew Fletcher Shrewsbury
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 35%Shrewsbury fair odds 2.85
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.18
- 33%Bristol Rovers fair odds 2.99
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.91 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.68 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.95 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Shrewsbury 4.9 · Bristol Rovers 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Shrewsbury 2.1 · Bristol Rovers 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Shrewsbury 3.6 · Bristol Rovers 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (528 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 11.5%
- 1–0 9.9%
- 0–1 9.6%
- 2–1 7.8%
- 1–2 7.6%
- 2–0 6.8%
- 0–2 6.5%
Team news & lineups
Shrewsbury
Bench Isaac Andrew Fletcher , M. Golding , will gray, Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd , L. Sousa , I. Lee , Cameron Gregory
Bristol Rovers
Bench A. Appiah , J. Quigley , R. Russell-Denny , J. Sparkes , P. Sanyaolu , Charlie Binns , E. Harrison
Form guide
Shrewsbury at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bristol Rovers away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury | 1–0 | |
| Shrewsbury v Bristol Rovers | 0–3 | |
| Shrewsbury v Bristol Rovers | 0–0 | |
| Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury | 1–0 | |
| Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury | 0–0 | |
| Shrewsbury v Bristol Rovers | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.13 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.85 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.48 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.69 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 31% | 3.24 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 2.99 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 6.94 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.25 |