Rotherham vs Gillingham match stats & report
1–4 Full time
Rotherham stats & fixtures · Gillingham stats & fixtures
Rotherham lost to Gillingham 1–4 in League Two on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.18–1.86. Rotherham had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rotherham 47%, the draw 27% and Gillingham 25%.
Rotherham vs Gillingham match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 1.18 Expected goals (xG) 1.86
- 12 Total shots 8
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 0
- 7 Shots inside the box 6
- 2 Corners 2
- 16 Fouls 13
- 2 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 478 Passes 294
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 17' Goal P. Mullin (assist K. Spence) Rotherham
- 34' Goal Ronan Hale Gillingham
- 47' Yellow card J. Brophy Gillingham
- 51' Yellow card L. Dobbs Gillingham
- 60' Goal L. Sillah (assist J. Brophy) Gillingham
- 66' Yellow card J. Eyestone Rotherham
- 67' Penalty scored Ronan Hale Gillingham
- 75' Yellow card D. Iorfa Rotherham
- 88' Yellow card Sonny Aljofree Rotherham
- 89' Penalty scored T. Eaves Gillingham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Rotherham fair odds 2.11
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.64
- 25%Gillingham fair odds 3.98
Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.25 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.22 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Rotherham 5.1 · Gillingham 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Rotherham 1.6 · Gillingham 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Rotherham 4.7 · Gillingham 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (527 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.1%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 2–0 8.6%
- 0–0 8.1%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 0–1 5.9%
- 2–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Rotherham
Bench J. Rafferty , T. Bradshaw , T. Cann , H. Douglas , Jayce Fitzgerald , Jamie Jellis , A. Nemane
Form guide
Rotherham at home
1–5–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Gillingham away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.27 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.68 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.99 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.54 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.94 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.04 |