Luton vs Leicester prediction & stats
Luton take on Leicester in League One on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Luton favourites at 51%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Luton vs Leicester prediction
- 51%Luton fair odds 1.97
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.96
- 24%Leicester fair odds 4.17
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.49 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.33 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.46 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.4
Luton 6.8 · Leicester 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 10.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 11.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 12.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 13.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Luton 1.6 · Leicester 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Luton 4.7 · Leicester 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (534 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–1 10.1%
- 2–0 8.2%
- 1–0 7.9%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–0 6.3%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Luton
- 1 J. Shea Goalkeeper
- 2 H. Odoffin Defender
- 8 L. Walsh Midfielder
- 18 J. Clark Midfielder
- 3 K. Naismith Defender
- 5 M. Andersen Defender
- 17 T. Mendel-Idowu Midfielder
- 6 G. Johnston Defender
- 45 K. Palmer Midfielder
- 10 J. Donley Midfielder
- 21 N. Wells Attacker
Leicester
- 37 W. Alves Midfielder
- 33 L. Thomas Defender
- 16 W. O'Hora Defender
- 17 E. Riis Attacker
- 29 A. McCarthy Goalkeeper
- 25 L. Page Midfielder
- 6 J. Lundstram Midfielder
- 5 C. Okoli —
- 36 S. Braybrooke Midfielder
- 27 K. Doyle —
- 32 O. Aluko Defender
Form guide
Luton at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 8.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leicester away
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.03 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.51 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.75 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 6.04 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.34 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.68 |