AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction & stats

League One · England · Regular Season - 12 · The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

AFC Wimbledon stats & fixtures · Mansfield Town stats & fixtures

AFC Wimbledon take on Mansfield Town in League One on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Mansfield Town favourites at 43%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%.

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals46%2.18
Over 3.5 goals24%4.10
Over 4.5 goals11%9.10
Under 0.5 goals10%10.37
Under 1.5 goals27%3.71
Under 2.5 goals54%1.85
Under 3.5 goals76%1.32
Under 4.5 goals89%1.12
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.93
Both teams to score: No48%2.08

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.6

AFC Wimbledon 5.8 · Mansfield Town 4.8

Total cornersOverUnder
8.571%29%
9.560%40%
10.548%52%
11.537%63%
12.528%72%

Expected cards: 3.5

AFC Wimbledon 1.5 · Mansfield Town 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.545%55%
4.527%73%
5.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

AFC Wimbledon 3.5 · Mansfield Town 4.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.578%22%
6.565%35%
7.552%48%
8.539%61%
9.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (534 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.0%
  2. 0–1 10.1%
  3. 0–0 9.6%
  4. 1–2 9.1%
  5. 0–2 8.3%
  6. 1–0 7.2%
  7. 2–1 6.8%
  8. 2–0 4.9%

Team news & lineups

AFC Wimbledon

Probable — not confirmed

Mansfield Town

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

AFC Wimbledon at home

3–4–3 in 10 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
7 / 10
Corners
5.5 per game
Shots on target
2.3 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Mansfield Town away

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.6 per game

7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Mansfield Town v AFC Wimbledon 2–2
AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town 0–0
AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town 2–1
Mansfield Town v AFC Wimbledon 0–0

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away -0.5 handicap 43% 2.31
Away +0.5 handicap 73% 1.38
Draw/Away double chance 73% 1.38
Away -1.5 handicap 21% 4.66
Away +1.5 handicap 89% 1.13
Home +1.5 handicap 79% 1.27
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.42
Away Over 0.5 team goals 76% 1.32
Away Over 1.5 team goals 42% 2.40
Home +0.5 handicap 57% 1.77
Home/Draw double chance 57% 1.77
Home Over 0.5 team goals 66% 1.51
Away Over 2.5 team goals 17% 5.86
Home -0.5 handicap 27% 3.67
Home Over 1.5 team goals 30% 3.37
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 10.21
Home -1.5 handicap 11% 8.84
Away clean sheet 34% 2.97
Home clean sheet 24% 4.15