Bradford vs Stevenage match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Bradford beat Stevenage 2–0 in League One on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.84–1.01. Bradford had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bradford 39%, the draw 37% and Stevenage 24%.
Bradford vs Stevenage match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 1.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.01
- 13 Total shots 12
- 2 Shots on target 1
- 7 Shots off target 7
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 9
- 9 Corners 3
- 17 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 379 Passes 323
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 79' Yellow card D. Phillips Stevenage
- 79' Penalty scored A. Sarcevic Bradford
- 81' Yellow card C. Connolly Bradford
- 87' Goal W. Swan Bradford
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 39%Bradford fair odds 2.55
- 37%Draw fair odds 2.74
- 24%Stevenage fair odds 4.12
Most likely score 0-0 (18.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.47 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 3% | 28.64 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 19% | 5.34 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 36% | 2.78 |
| Both teams to score: No | 64% | 1.56 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Bradford 6.4 · Stevenage 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Bradford 1.9 · Stevenage 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 6.9
Bradford 3.8 · Stevenage 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 7.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 8.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (523 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–0 18.7%
- 1–0 15.6%
- 1–1 15.0%
- 0–1 10.8%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 2–1 6.8%
- 1–2 4.8%
- 0–2 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Bradford
Bench Kieran Morgan , C. O'Keeffe , N. Powell , C. Dawson , M. Gillesphey , W. Swan , S. Humphrys
Stevenage
Bench K. Casey , M. Mellon , P. Patterson , T. Taylor , L. Thompson , B. Broggio , D. Barden
Form guide
Bradford at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Stevenage away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bradford vs Stevenage head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford v Stevenage | 0–1 | |
| Stevenage v Bradford | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.79 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home/Away double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.55 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.55 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.71 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.28 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 24.05 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 11.95 |