Leicester vs Doncaster match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Leicester beat Doncaster 2–1 in League One on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.80–0.62. Leicester had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Leicester 39%, the draw 28% and Doncaster 32%.
Leicester vs Doncaster match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 1.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.62
- 14 Total shots 15
- 7 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 6
- 4 Blocked shots 6
- 12 Shots inside the box 9
- 6 Corners 7
- 12 Fouls 10
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 459 Passes 388
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 17' Yellow card L. Thomas Leicester
- 45+1' Goal J. Lundstram (assist W. O'Hora) Leicester
- 57' Yellow card A. May Doncaster
- 59' Yellow card J. McGrath Doncaster
- 61' Goal K. Doyle (assist L. Thomas) Leicester
- 65' Yellow card L. Ayinde Doncaster
- 84' Own goal W. O'Hora Doncaster
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 39%Leicester fair odds 2.54
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.55
- 32%Doncaster fair odds 3.08
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.30 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.0
Leicester 6.9 · Doncaster 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 11.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 12.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Leicester 1.7 · Doncaster 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Leicester 4.8 · Doncaster 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (523 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 0–0 8.0%
- 1–0 8.0%
- 1–2 7.8%
- 0–1 6.9%
- 2–0 6.8%
- 0–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Leicester
Bench C. Chaplin , O. Aluko , B. De Cordova-Reid , H. Howell , L. Cullen , I. Kangasniemi , F. Ravizzoli
Doncaster
Bench H. Adelakun , J. Clarke , H. Clifton , B. Hanlan , W. Keane , B. McCann , D. Robinson
Form guide
Leicester at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Doncaster away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.20 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.08 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.71 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 28% | 3.63 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.08 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.54 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.16 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.70 |