Doncaster vs Burton Albion match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Doncaster stats & fixtures · Burton Albion stats & fixtures
Doncaster beat Burton Albion 1–0 in League One on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.66–1.12. Burton Albion had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Doncaster 48%, the draw 28% and Burton Albion 24%.
Doncaster vs Burton Albion match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 0.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
- 15 Total shots 21
- 1 Shots on target 5
- 8 Shots off target 6
- 6 Blocked shots 10
- 8 Shots inside the box 17
- 3 Corners 12
- 7 Fouls 17
- 1 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 345 Passes 433
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 39' Yellow card M. Dennis Burton Albion
- 41' Yellow card O. Bailey Doncaster
- 45+2' Goal L. Ayinde (assist A. May) Doncaster
- 70' Yellow card R. Gotts Doncaster
- 84' Yellow card Harvey Araujo Burton Albion
- 90' Yellow card H. Adelakun Doncaster
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 48%Doncaster fair odds 2.08
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.56
- 24%Burton Albion fair odds 4.19
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.27 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Doncaster 5.3 · Burton Albion 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Doncaster 2.0 · Burton Albion 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Doncaster 4.9 · Burton Albion 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (518 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 1–0 10.3%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 9.1%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 0–1 6.2%
- 3–1 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Doncaster
Bench D. Robinson , H. Adelakun , J. Clarke , H. Clifton , Dylan Hartley, I. Hutchinson , T. Nixon
Burton Albion
Bench G. Arubi , Harvey Araujo , Kain Adom, J. Kean , Sulyman Krubally , T. Sibbick , J. Sraha
Form guide
Doncaster at home
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Burton Albion away
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Doncaster vs Burton Albion head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion v Doncaster | 1–2 | |
| Doncaster v Burton Albion | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.73 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.92 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.19 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.42 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.83 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.99 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.95 |