Leicester vs Peterborough match stats & report
1–3 Full time
Leicester stats & fixtures · Peterborough stats & fixtures
Leicester lost to Peterborough 1–3 in League One on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.42–1.49. Leicester had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Leicester 45%, the draw 25% and Peterborough 30%.
Leicester vs Peterborough match statistics
- 70% Ball possession 30%
- 2.42 Expected goals (xG) 1.49
- 20 Total shots 13
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 4
- 7 Blocked shots 5
- 18 Shots inside the box 10
- 8 Corners 8
- 11 Fouls 14
- 3 Offsides 3
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 645 Passes 262
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal O. Edwards (assist Harley Mills) Peterborough
- 36' Goal H. Leonard (assist Bolu Shofowoke) Peterborough
- 44' Own goal W. O'Hora Peterborough
- 68' Goal E. Riis (assist W. Burns) Leicester
- 85' Yellow card M. Garbett Peterborough
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Leicester fair odds 2.24
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 30%Peterborough fair odds 3.32
Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.76 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.20 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.06 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.73 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.4
Leicester 7.2 · Peterborough 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 10.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 11.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 12.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 13.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Leicester 1.9 · Peterborough 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 10.2
Leicester 6.4 · Peterborough 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (518 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.5%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 2–0 6.6%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 0–0 5.5%
- 3–1 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Leicester
Bench S. Braybrooke , W. Burns , K. Doyle , H. Howell , I. Kangasniemi , F. Ravizzoli , H. Souttar
Peterborough
Bench B. Woods , D. Okagbue , B. Khela , M. Garbett , D. Ormerod, Vernon Masara , C. Andeng Ndi
Form guide
Leicester at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Peterborough away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.69 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 6.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.91 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home clean sheet | 25% | 4.07 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.11 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.95 |