Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Plymouth stats & fixtures · AFC Wimbledon stats & fixtures
Plymouth beat AFC Wimbledon 2–1 in League One on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.76–1.00. Plymouth had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Plymouth 68%, the draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 12%.
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon match statistics
- 55% Ball possession 45%
- 1.76 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
- 18 Total shots 14
- 8 Shots on target 5
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 13 Shots inside the box 10
- 4 Corners 9
- 10 Fouls 15
- 4 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 381 Passes 306
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 16' Goal J. Stockley (assist C. Maycock) AFC Wimbledon
- 25' Goal C. Watts Plymouth
- 90+5' Goal X. Amaechi (assist A. Hartridge) Plymouth
- 90+6' Yellow card X. Amaechi Plymouth
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 68%Plymouth fair odds 1.46
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.05
- 12%AFC Wimbledon fair odds 8.51
Most likely score 2-0 (11.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.17 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.3
Plymouth 6.4 · AFC Wimbledon 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 11.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 12.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 13.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Plymouth 2.1 · AFC Wimbledon 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Plymouth 6.4 · AFC Wimbledon 2.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (518 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.3%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–1 9.4%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 3–0 8.1%
- 3–1 7.6%
- 0–0 5.2%
- 4–0 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Plymouth
Bench X. Amaechi , T. Bakinson , Seb Campbell, A. Hartridge , Jack Mackenzie, M. Sorinola , James Storer
AFC Wimbledon
Bench M. Browne , H. Cornick , Z. Nelson , S. Sessegnon , F. Simmonds , N. Bishop , R. Horan
Form guide
Plymouth at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
AFC Wimbledon away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon v Plymouth | 1–3 | |
| Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon | 1–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 45% | 2.25 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 32% | 3.17 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.68 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 9.84 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 24.13 |