Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Sheffield Wednesday stats & fixtures · Cambridge United stats & fixtures
Sheffield Wednesday drew with Cambridge United 1–1 in League One on 27 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.73–1.72. Sheffield Wednesday had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sheffield Wednesday 55%, the draw 24% and Cambridge United 21%.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 1.73 Expected goals (xG) 1.72
- 19 Total shots 18
- 5 Shots on target 9
- 9 Shots off target 6
- 5 Blocked shots 3
- 12 Shots inside the box 14
- 6 Corners 11
- 7 Fouls 8
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 574 Passes 309
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 50' Goal Mason Paul James Burstow (assist C. Slattery) Sheffield Wednesday
- 65' Yellow card R. James Sheffield Wednesday
- 67' Goal S. Kaikai (assist S. Lavery) Cambridge United
- 90+5' Yellow card S. Lavery Cambridge United
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 94% before kick-off
- 55%Sheffield Wednesday fair odds 1.81
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.24
- 21%Cambridge United fair odds 4.73
Most likely score 1-1 (11.2%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Sheffield Wednesday to score about 0.7 more and playing at home is worth roughly 22% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 1632 matches.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Sheffield Wednesday
Attack 1.06 · Defence 0.97
Last five: LLWDW, scored 9, conceded 6
Against its rating, a match: −0.1 scored, 0.0 conceded
Cambridge United
Attack 0.95 · Defence 1.08
Last five: LDWWW, scored 9, conceded 7
Against its rating, a match: +0.3 scored, 0.0 conceded
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.22× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Cambridge United’s last five moved its expected goals by +1.1%. In the numbers
- Confirmed elevens: Sheffield Wednesday at 79% of full strength, Cambridge United at 67%. In the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (11%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Sheffield Wednesday is new to this competition: rated from 11 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Sheffield Wednesday attack scores 6% more than average, against Cambridge United defence, which lets in 8% more than average: 1.66 goals (an average side here: 1.45)
- Cambridge United attack scores 5% less than average, against Sheffield Wednesday defence, which lets in 3% fewer than average: 1.10 goals (an average side here: 1.20)
Blended with the chances each side creates (shots on target, and xG where it is recorded) and adjusted for the players selected, the call rests on Sheffield Wednesday 1.83, Cambridge United 1.09.
Ratings from 11 matches for Sheffield Wednesday and 89 for Cambridge United, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Cambridge United win 7.4 corners a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 10.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Cambridge United’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.85 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.31 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 12.1
Sheffield Wednesday 5.8 · Cambridge United 6.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 11.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 12.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 13.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 14.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Sheffield Wednesday 1.7 · Cambridge United 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Sheffield Wednesday 5.6 · Cambridge United 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (535 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.2%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 1–0 9.4%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 0–0 6.1%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 3–0 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Sheffield Wednesday
Bench S. Fusire , W. Grainger , K. Morrison , Ali Al Hamadi , L. Palmer , S. Swinkels , C. Trueman
Cambridge United
Bench Raees Bangura-Williams , P. Bauer , Z. Bradshaw , G. Breeze , S. Kaikai , S. Lavery , O. Moxon
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Sheffield Wednesday at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cambridge United away
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 45% | 2.24 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.61 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.73 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.38 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.18 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.63 |