France vs Belgium match stats & report
4–1 Full time
France beat Belgium 4–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 5 October 2026. France had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave France 54%, the draw 24% and Belgium 23%.
France vs Belgium match statistics
- 66% Ball possession 34%
- 23 Total shots 5
- 8 Shots on target 2
- 6 Shots off target 3
- 9 Blocked shots 0
- 14 Shots inside the box 3
- 9 Corners 2
- 4 Fouls 8
- 0 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 692 Passes 363
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 35' Goal D. Lukebakio (assist R. Lavia) Belgium
- 57' Yellow card R. Lavia Belgium
- 69' Yellow card M. Lacroix France
- 73' Yellow card Belgium
- 75' Yellow card J. Seys Belgium
- 77' Goal D. Doué (assist L. da Cunha) France
- 81' Goal R. Cherki (assist M. Olise) France
- 88' Goal M. Olise (assist D. Doué) France
- 90+1' Goal M. Olise (assist D. Doué) France
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%France fair odds 1.87
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.19
- 23%Belgium fair odds 4.42
Most likely score 1-1 (10.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.16 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.56 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 6.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.78 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
France 4.6 · Belgium 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.5
France 1.6 · Belgium 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
France 5.2 · Belgium 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.7%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 3–1 6.5%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 1–0 6.2%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 3–0 5.1%
Team news & lineups
France
Bench J. Butez , R. Cherki , L. da Cunha , D. Doué , P. Kalulu , M. Maignan , M. Olise , A. Rabiot , A. Truffert
Belgium
Bench L. Trossard , A. Theate , K. Sabbe , M. Penders , L. Openda , S. Lammens , M. Keita , M. Godts , M. Fernandez-Pardo , Charles De Ketelaere , Z. Debast , M. De Cuyper
Form guide
France at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.2 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Belgium away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
France vs Belgium head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium v France | 0–1 | |
| Belgium v France | 1–2 | |
| France v Belgium | 2–0 | |
| France v Belgium | 1–0 | |
| Belgium v France | 2–3 | |
| France v Belgium | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.20 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.15 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.18 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.64 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.07 |
| Home clean sheet | 28% | 3.61 |