Portugal vs Norway match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Portugal beat Norway 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 4 October 2026. Portugal had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Portugal 73%, the draw 17% and Norway 10%.
Portugal vs Norway match statistics
- 59% Ball possession 41%
- 20 Total shots 9
- 7 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 4
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 11 Shots inside the box 6
- 6 Corners 4
- 8 Fouls 7
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 1 Red cards 0
- 496 Passes 351
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 12' Yellow card João Cancelo Portugal
- 36' Goal K. Ajer (assist M. Ødegaard) Norway
- 38' Goal João Cancelo (assist N. Mendes) Portugal
- 79' Goal Gonçalo Ramos (assist João Félix) Portugal
- 86' Red card Francisco Conceição Portugal
- 86' Yellow card Francisco Conceição Portugal
- 88' Yellow card Bruno Fernandes Portugal
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 73%Portugal fair odds 1.38
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.75
- 10%Norway fair odds 9.98
Most likely score 2-0 (10.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 28% | 3.60 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 25.73 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.30 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Portugal 5.3 · Norway 3.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.1
Portugal 1.6 · Norway 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Portugal 5.7 · Norway 2.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.0%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 3–0 8.7%
- 1–1 8.0%
- 3–1 8.0%
- 1–0 6.8%
- 4–0 5.7%
- 4–1 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Portugal
Bench Diogo Dalot , Tomás Araújo , R. Leao , Pedro Neto , J. Neves , Rúben Neves , B. Silva , Fábio Silva , Rui Silva , Samuel Soares , Nuno Tavares , Trincão
Norway
Bench K. Thorstvedt , S. Tangvik , F. Sjøvold , M. Pedersen , O. Nyland , J. Strand Larsen , S. Langas , E. Botheim , Oscar Bobb , O. Blomberg , T. Aasgaard , O. L. Bjortuft
Form guide
Portugal at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.4 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Norway away
4–1–3 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 8
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Portugal vs Norway head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Norway v Portugal | 1–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 27% | 3.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 13.49 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 10% | 9.98 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.26 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 29.30 |