Denmark vs Portugal match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Denmark lost to Portugal 2–4 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 1 October 2026. Denmark had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Denmark 34%, the draw 28% and Portugal 38%.
Denmark vs Portugal match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 12 Total shots 19
- 3 Shots on target 10
- 6 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 5
- 5 Shots inside the box 13
- 3 Corners 7
- 6 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 527 Passes 449
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal João Cancelo (assist Gonçalo Ramos) Portugal
- 23' Goal M. Damsgaard (assist J. Mæhle) Denmark
- 25' Goal Gonçalo Ramos (assist Bruno Fernandes) Portugal
- 53' Goal R. Højlund (assist M. Damsgaard) Denmark
- 67' Goal Vitinha (assist Bruno Fernandes) Portugal
- 68' Yellow card Portugal
- 79' Yellow card M. Daramy Denmark
- 82' Yellow card Rúben Neves Portugal
- 87' Goal João Félix (assist Diogo Dalot) Portugal
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Denmark fair odds 2.90
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.62
- 38%Portugal fair odds 2.64
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.84 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.52 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Denmark 3.8 · Portugal 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Denmark 1.6 · Portugal 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Denmark 3.4 · Portugal 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–2 8.6%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 0–1 6.6%
- 1–0 6.2%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 0–2 6.1%
Team news & lineups
Denmark
Bench M. Bidstrup , V. Froholdt , A. Gaaei , K. Hogh , L. Høgsberg , G. Isaksen , F. Jörgensen , T. Jørgensen , Andreas Jungdal , N. Nartey , V. Nelsson , Andreas Skov Olsen
Portugal
Bench Trincão , Nuno Tavares , Samuel Soares , Fábio Silva , Bernardo Silva , João Palhinha , Gonçalo Inácio , Diogo Dalot , Tomás Araújo , J. Neves , João Félix , Rui Silva
Form guide
Denmark at home
4–1–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Portugal away
3–2–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Denmark vs Portugal head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal v Denmark | 5–2 | |
| Denmark v Portugal | 1–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 6.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.90 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.47 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.41 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.84 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.53 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.64 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.25 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.25 |