Stellenbosch vs Amazulu prediction, stats & H2H

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Stellenbosch to score about 0.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 28% in this competition.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 1487 matches, with no market price to check against.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 6 meetings: Stellenbosch won 4, 0 drawn, Amazulu won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (15%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Stellenbosch attack scores 14% more than average, against Amazulu defence, which lets in 16% fewer than average: 1.23 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
• Amazulu attack scores 26% more than average, against Stellenbosch defence, which lets in 24% fewer than average: 0.96 goals (an average side here: 1.00)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Stellenbosch 1.27, Amazulu 0.92.

Ratings from 102 matches for Stellenbosch and 94 for Amazulu, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Amazulu score 1.1 a game — 75th percentile in this competition.
• Stellenbosch have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
• Amazulu have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

Stellenbosch 5.1 · Amazulu 3.9

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (225 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 14.8%
2. 0–0 12.9%
3. 1–0 12.5%
4. 2–0 9.0%
5. 0–1 8.6%
6. 2–1 8.3%
7. 1–2 6.0%
8. 0–2 4.8%