Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona prediction & stats
Paris Saint Germain stats & fixtures · Barcelona stats & fixtures
Paris Saint Germain take on Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 46%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 7.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 77%.
Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona prediction
- 46%Paris Saint Germain fair odds 2.16
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.62
- 32%Barcelona fair odds 3.12
Most likely score 2-1 (7.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 41.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 7% | 14.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: No | 23% | 4.38 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Paris Saint Germain 4.8 · Barcelona 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Paris Saint Germain 1.4 · Barcelona 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 11.3
Paris Saint Germain 6.4 · Barcelona 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 10.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 11.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 12.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 13.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (223 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 7.6%
- 1–1 7.5%
- 2–2 7.2%
- 1–2 6.3%
- 3–1 5.7%
- 3–2 5.4%
- 2–3 4.5%
- 1–3 4.0%
Team news & lineups
Paris Saint Germain
- 39 M. Safonov Goalkeeper
- 11 M. Akliouche Attacker
- 33 W. Zaïre-Emery Defender
- 87 J. Neves Midfielder
- 9 Ferran Torres Attacker
- 6 I. Zabarnyi Defender
- 27 Pedro Fernández Midfielder
- 2 A. Hakimi Defender
- 7 K. Kvaratskhelia Attacker
- 4 Beraldo Midfielder
- 12 L. Digne Defender
Barcelona
- 16 Rodri Midfielder
- 10 Lamine Yamal Attacker
- 1 J. Garcia Goalkeeper
- 18 Gerard Martín Defender
- 8 Pedri Midfielder
- 7 Fermín Midfielder
- 5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Defender
- 24 E. Garcia Defender
- 17 A. Gordon Attacker
- 12 X. Espart Defender
- 9 Gabriel Jesus Attacker
Out and doubtful
- A. Christensen Barcelona Out — Muscle Injury
- S. Mayulu Paris Saint Germain Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Bardghji Barcelona Out — Knee Injury
- A. Longoni Paris Saint Germain Out — Injury
- Gabriel Jesus Barcelona Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 8.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.2 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Barcelona away
7–0–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.9 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona v Paris Saint Germain | 1–2 | |
| Barcelona v Paris Saint Germain | 1–4 | |
| Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona | 2–3 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home clean sheet | 15% | 6.67 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.12 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 9.74 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.85 |