Charlotte vs FC Dallas match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Charlotte beat FC Dallas 3–2 in Major League Soccer on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.51–2.17. Charlotte had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Charlotte 46%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 29%.
Charlotte vs FC Dallas match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 3.51 Expected goals (xG) 2.17
- 18 Total shots 13
- 8 Shots on target 5
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 3
- 17 Shots inside the box 9
- 14 Corners 3
- 14 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 481 Passes 379
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 22' Goal L. Farrington (assist H. Johansson) FC Dallas
- 64' Goal P. Musa (assist S. Moreno) FC Dallas
- 70' Goal I. Toklomati (assist A. Saint-Maximin) Charlotte
- 74' Goal H. Toffolo (assist I. Toklomati) Charlotte
- 79' Yellow card O. Urhoghide FC Dallas
- 86' Yellow card M. Agyemang Charlotte
- 90+2' Goal I. Toklomati (assist Pep Biel) Charlotte
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 46%Charlotte fair odds 2.17
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.93
- 29%FC Dallas fair odds 3.50
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.63 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Charlotte 5.8 · FC Dallas 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.6
Charlotte 1.9 · FC Dallas 2.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 10.0
Charlotte 5.2 · FC Dallas 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (446 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 2–0 7.1%
- 1–0 6.8%
- 2–2 6.0%
- 0–0 5.8%
- 3–1 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Charlotte
Bench R. Aloko , Will Cleary , L. de la Torre , D. Diani , T. Miller , A. Privett , N. Richmond , Tyger Smalls , H. Toffolo
FC Dallas
Bench Ramiro , Samuel Sarver , J. Sirois , P. Musa , S. Moreno , B. Kamungo , D. Job , S. Ibeagha , R. Binyamin
Out and doubtful
- A. Goodwin Charlotte Out — Foot Injury
- A. John Charlotte Out — Shoulder Injury
- N. Berchimas Charlotte Out — Foot Injury
- T. Ream Charlotte Out — Red Card
- Geovane Jesus FC Dallas Out — Knee Injury
- B. Bronico Charlotte Doubtful — Lower-Body Injury
- Daniel FC Dallas Doubtful — Leg Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Charlotte at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FC Dallas away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.81 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.99 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.66 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.98 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.50 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.57 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.52 |