Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction & stats
Brighton stats & fixtures · Crystal Palace stats & fixtures
Brighton take on Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Brighton favourites at 56%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction
- 56%Brighton fair odds 1.79
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.22
- 20%Crystal Palace fair odds 4.90
Most likely score 1-1 (11.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.03 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.47 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.8
Brighton 5.7 · Crystal Palace 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Brighton 1.9 · Crystal Palace 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Brighton 5.6 · Crystal Palace 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.0%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 1–0 7.9%
- 3–1 6.5%
- 0–0 5.7%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 3–0 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Brighton
- 13 Pascal Groß Midfielder
- 1 Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
- 21 Olivier Boscagli Defender
- 19 Charalampos Kostoulas Attacker
- 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender
- 25 D. Gómez Midfielder
- 29 Maxim De Cuyper Midfielder
- 44 Luka Vušković Defender
- 26 Yasin Ayari Midfielder
- 35 Malick Yalcouyé Midfielder
- 5 Lewis Dunk Defender
Crystal Palace
No lineup published yet.
Out and doubtful
- K. Mitoma Brighton Out — Hamstring Injury
- C. Riad Crystal Palace Out — Knee Injury
- E. Ferguson Brighton Out — Ankle Injury
- F. Azeez Brighton Out — Abdominal strain
- M. Wieffer Brighton Out — Knee Injury
- S. Tzimas Brighton Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Minteh Brighton Out — Injury
- Z. Yohanna Brighton Out — Injury
- A. Disasi Crystal Palace Out — Red Card
- I. Osman Brighton Doubtful — Injury
- P. Struijk Brighton Doubtful — Rest
- B. Chilwell Crystal Palace Doubtful — Injury
- D. Henderson Crystal Palace Doubtful — Foot Injury
- J. Mateta Crystal Palace Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
- T. Tomiyasu Crystal Palace Doubtful — Calf Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Brighton at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crystal Palace away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton v Crystal Palace | 0–1 | |
| Crystal Palace v Brighton | 0–0 | |
| Crystal Palace v Brighton | 2–1 | |
| Brighton v Crystal Palace | 1–3 | |
| Brighton v Crystal Palace | 4–1 | |
| Crystal Palace v Brighton | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.90 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away clean sheet | 14% | 7.12 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 11.81 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.03 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.11 |