Sunderland vs Brighton match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Sunderland stats & fixtures · Brighton stats & fixtures
Sunderland lost to Brighton 0–2 in the Premier League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.68–1.14. Sunderland had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sunderland 32%, the draw 28% and Brighton 40%.
Sunderland vs Brighton match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 0.68 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
- 12 Total shots 13
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 7
- 7 Blocked shots 2
- 4 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 5
- 8 Fouls 12
- 5 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 495 Passes 305
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 36' Yellow card Olivier Boscagli Brighton
- 53' Goal Maxim De Cuyper (assist Pascal Groß) Brighton
- 57' Red card P. Struijk Brighton
- 90+3' Goal J. Hadjam (assist G. Rutter) Brighton
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 32%Sunderland fair odds 3.09
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.60
- 40%Brighton fair odds 2.51
Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.70 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.14 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.36 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Sunderland 4.6 · Brighton 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Sunderland 2.0 · Brighton 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Sunderland 4.0 · Brighton 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (360 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.2%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 2–1 7.8%
- 0–1 7.7%
- 0–0 7.6%
- 0–2 6.8%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Sunderland
Bench O. Alderete , J. Angulo , J. Ta Bi , M. Ellborg , M. Fofana , D. Methalie , L. O'Nien , C. Rigg , C. Talbi
Brighton
Bench Jason Steele , G. Rutter , I. Osman , M. O'Riley , Costinha , J. Hadjam , Lewis Dunk , Promise David , Malick Yalcouyé
Out and doubtful
- J. Hinshelwood Brighton Out — Ankle Injury
- K. Mitoma Brighton Out — Hamstring Injury
- D. Ballard Sunderland Out — Muscle Injury
- E. Ferguson Brighton Out — Ankle Injury
- F. Azeez Brighton Out — Abdominal strain
- M. Wieffer Brighton Out — Knee Injury
- S. Tzimas Brighton Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Minteh Brighton Out — Injury
- Z. Yohanna Brighton Out — Injury
- B. Brobbey Sunderland Out — Muscle Injury
- H. Diarra Sunderland Out — Hamstring Injury
- R. Mundle Sunderland Out — Knee Injury
- Lewis Dunk Brighton Doubtful — Neck Injury
- P. Struijk Brighton Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Sunderland at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Brighton away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sunderland vs Brighton head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland v Brighton | 0–1 | |
| Brighton v Sunderland | 0–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.68 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.35 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.86 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.03 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.44 |