Panama vs New Zealand match stats & report
1–1 After penalties
Panama stats & fixtures · New Zealand stats & fixtures
Panama drew with New Zealand 1–1 in the Kirin Cup (Semi-finals) on 1 October 2026. Panama had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Panama 48%, the draw 29% and New Zealand 23%.
Panama vs New Zealand match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 11 Total shots 11
- 2 Shots on target 1
- 4 Shots off target 7
- 5 Blocked shots 3
- 4 Shots inside the box 8
- 2 Corners 4
- 13 Fouls 7
- 2 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 620 Passes 339
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal M. Stamenić (assist B. Waine) New Zealand
- 45+1' Goal A. Herbert (assist J. Rodríguez) Panama
- 88' Yellow card M. Krug Panama
Penalty shoot-out: 3–5
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 48%Panama fair odds 2.08
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.48
- 23%New Zealand fair odds 4.33
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.98 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.74 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.58 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Panama 4.3 · New Zealand 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.1
Panama 1.4 · New Zealand 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Panama 5.0 · New Zealand 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 1–0 10.5%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 0–1 6.3%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 3–1 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Panama
Bench M. Jimenez , J. Jones , E. Anderson , M. Krug , A. Londoño , J. Modelo , R. Mosquera , D. Murillo , E. Roberts , T. Rodríguez , O. Valencia , M. De Leon , Víctor Griffith
New Zealand
Bench Michael Woud , Henry Gray , D. Ingham , G. Stanger , Sam Sutton , Bill Tuiloma , D. Wilkins , Lachlan Bayliss , O. Parker-Price , J. Randall , S. Ukich , M. Dyer
Form guide
Panama at home
2–3–3 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 8
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
New Zealand away
1–4–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.20 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.73 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.77 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.92 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.33 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.66 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.23 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.37 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.