FC Porto vs Academico Viseu result
1–0 Full time
FC Porto stats & fixtures · Academico Viseu stats & fixtures
FC Porto beat Academico Viseu 1–0 in the Taça da Liga (Quarter-finals) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave FC Porto 74%, the draw 19% and Academico Viseu 7%.
Goals and cards
- 15' Yellow card C. Smalling FC Porto
- 39' Yellow card G. Costa Academico Viseu
- 45' Penalty scored S. Gimenez FC Porto
- 63' Yellow card S. Messeguem Academico Viseu
- 90+5' Yellow card Joao Guilherme Academico Viseu
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: over 0.5 goals, 92% before kick-off
- 74%FC Porto fair odds 1.35
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.24
- 7%Academico Viseu fair odds 14.50
Most likely score 2-0 (15.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects FC Porto to score about 1.6 more.
High confidence — Fitted on 1877 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
FC Porto
Attack 1.59 · Defence 0.55
Last five: WLLWW, scored 8, conceded 6
Academico Viseu
Attack 1.02 · Defence 0.90
Last five: WLWWW, scored 8, conceded 4
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.13× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last meeting: FC Porto won 1, 0 drawn, Academico Viseu won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (16%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- FC Porto attack scores 59% more than average, against Academico Viseu defence, which lets in 10% fewer than average: 2.02 goals (an average side here: 1.41)
- Academico Viseu attack scores about the average, against FC Porto defence, which lets in 45% fewer than average: 0.70 goals (an average side here: 1.25)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on FC Porto 2.17, Academico Viseu 0.55.
Ratings from 108 matches for FC Porto and 103 for Academico Viseu, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- FC Porto win 6.4 corners a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
- Academico Viseu win 2 corners a game — 12th percentile in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of FC Porto’s last 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.13 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.17 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 38% | 2.61 |
| Both teams to score: No | 62% | 1.62 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
FC Porto 6.6 · Academico Viseu 2.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (307 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 15.6%
- 1–0 13.3%
- 3–0 11.3%
- 1–1 8.8%
- 2–1 8.5%
- 0–0 7.6%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 4–0 6.1%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
FC Porto at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Academico Viseu away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 2.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
FC Porto vs Academico Viseu head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu v FC Porto | 0–3 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home clean sheet | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 26% | 3.85 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.85 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 8.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 10% | 9.55 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 7% | 14.50 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 54.99 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 58.49 |