Tarancón vs Levante prediction & stats
Tarancón take on Levante in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) on 5 November 2026. The Ghost makes Levante favourites at 81%, with the draw at 15%. The likeliest score is 0–2, at 16.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 35%.
Tarancón vs Levante prediction
The Ghost: Levante to win, 81%; the call made for the original date was voided
- 4%Tarancón fair odds 23.94
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.85
- 81%Levante fair odds 1.23
Most likely score 0-2 (16.2%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Levante to score about 2.0 more.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 26955 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Tarancón
Attack 1.01 · Defence 0.79
Last five: DDWWD, scored 8, conceded 6
Levante
Attack 2.24 · Defence 0.48
Last five: LLWDD, scored 8, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-2 (16%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Tarancón attack scores about the average, against Levante defence, which lets in 52% fewer than average: 0.63 goals (an average side here: 1.31)
- Levante attack scores 124% more than average, against Tarancón defence, which lets in 21% fewer than average: 2.33 goals (an average side here: 1.31)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Tarancón 0.46, Levante 2.50.
Ratings from 105 matches for Tarancón and 125 for Levante, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Levante have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.88 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 35% | 2.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 65% | 1.53 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 16.2%
- 0–3 13.5%
- 0–1 12.1%
- 0–4 8.5%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 1–1 6.7%
- 1–3 6.2%
- 0–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Tarancón
No lineup published yet.
Levante
- 9 Iván Romero Attacker
- 13 M. Ryan Goalkeeper
- 7 R. Brugue Attacker
- 3 Ifeanyi Ndukwe Defender
- 24 T. Fernández Attacker
- 8 Jon Ander Olasagasti Midfielder
- 6 Reque Midfielder
- 2 A. Mandi Defender
- 29 Nacho Pérez Defender
- 23 Manu Sánchez Defender
- 22 J. Toljan Defender
Form guide
Tarancón at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Levante away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.17 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away clean sheet | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.50 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 19% | 5.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.33 |
| Home clean sheet | 8% | 12.25 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 8% | 12.72 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 4% | 23.94 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 86.21 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 109.26 |