Belgium vs France match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Belgium lost to France 0–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 28 September 2026. France had 65% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Belgium 43%, the draw 25% and France 32%.
Belgium vs France match statistics
- 35% Ball possession 65%
- 12 Total shots 18
- 2 Shots on target 7
- 8 Shots off target 7
- 2 Blocked shots 4
- 7 Shots inside the box 12
- 2 Corners 6
- 12 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 368 Passes 681
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 42' Yellow card Diego Moreira Belgium
- 57' Yellow card K. De Bruyne Belgium
- 66' Yellow card Y. Tielemans Belgium
- 88' Goal M. Olise (assist R. Cherki) France
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 43%Belgium fair odds 2.31
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.97
- 32%France fair odds 3.17
Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.83 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Belgium 4.6 · France 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Belgium 1.4 · France 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Belgium 4.1 · France 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4426 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.1%
- 2–1 8.9%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–2 6.8%
- 2–0 5.8%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 1–0 5.1%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Belgium
Bench Z. Debast , J. De Busser , M. Keita , Romelu Lukaku , D. Lukebakio , M. Fernandez-Pardo , L. Openda , N. Raskin , H. Vanaken , K. De Winter , M. Vandevoordt , Maxim De Cuyper
France
Bench R. Cherki , L. Yoro , O. Dembele , M. Kone , J. Koundé , M. Olise , G. Restes , A. Truffert , D. Upamecano , J. Butez , A. Rabiot
Form guide
Belgium at home
3–4–1 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 8
- Corners
- 6.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.1 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
France away
7–1–0 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 8
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.8 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Belgium vs France head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium v France | 1–2 | |
| France v Belgium | 2–0 | |
| France v Belgium | 1–0 | |
| Belgium v France | 2–3 | |
| France v Belgium | 1–0 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.15 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.62 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.03 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.45 |