Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa result
1–2 After extra time
Nagoya Grampus stats & fixtures · Urawa stats & fixtures
Nagoya Grampus lost to Urawa 1–2 in the J-League Cup (Round of 16) on 28 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nagoya Grampus 37%, the draw 26% and Urawa 37%.
Goals and cards
- 45+2' Goal J. Hayakawa Urawa
- 67' Goal Y. Yamagishi (assist Y. Nogami) Nagoya Grampus
- 76' Yellow card Danilo Boza Urawa
- 107' Yellow card T. Takamine Nagoya Grampus
- 108' Yellow card A. Onaiwu Urawa
- 114' Yellow card Samuel Gustafson Urawa
- 117' Goal H. Minamino Urawa
- 120' Yellow card T. Seko Urawa
- 120' Yellow card T. Takamine Nagoya Grampus
- 120' Red card T. Takamine Nagoya Grampus
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Missed: double chance Nagoya Grampus or Urawa, 74% before kick-off, settled on 1–1 after 90 minutes
- 37%Nagoya Grampus fair odds 2.74
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.82
- 37%Urawa fair odds 2.68
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same.
High confidence — Fitted on 4154 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Nagoya Grampus
Attack 1.68 · Defence 0.60
Last five: DDWDW, scored 10, conceded 7
Urawa
Attack 1.78 · Defence 0.54
Last five: WWWWL, scored 9, conceded 5
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.16× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Nagoya Grampus won 2, 0 drawn, Urawa won 4. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (12%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- Urawa has a new coach, Gwi-jae Jo, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Nagoya Grampus attack scores 68% more than average, against Urawa defence, which lets in 46% fewer than average: 1.59 goals (an average side here: 1.75)
- Urawa attack scores 78% more than average, against Nagoya Grampus defence, which lets in 40% fewer than average: 1.60 goals (an average side here: 1.52)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Nagoya Grampus 1.59, Urawa 1.61.
Ratings from 125 matches for Nagoya Grampus and 118 for Urawa, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Nagoya Grampus have kept 0 clean sheets in 10.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Nagoya Grampus’s last 10.
- Nagoya Grampus win 5.6 corners a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.28 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.30 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.85 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 1–2 8.4%
- 2–1 8.3%
- 2–2 6.7%
- 0–0 5.5%
- 0–2 5.3%
- 0–1 5.2%
- 2–0 5.2%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Nagoya Grampus at home
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Urawa away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
41% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Urawa v Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Urawa | 2–1 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Urawa | 0–1 | |
| Urawa v Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 | |
| Urawa v Nagoya Grampus | 1–0 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Urawa | 3–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.57 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 63% | 1.60 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.68 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.74 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.59 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.69 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.89 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 4.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.19 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.36 |