Norway vs Portugal match stats & report

1–2 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League A - 2 · Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo · Ref Francois Letexier

Norway stats & fixtures · Portugal stats & fixtures

Norway lost to Portugal 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on 27 September 2026. Norway had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Norway 25%, the draw 25% and Portugal 51%.

Norway vs Portugal match statistics

NorwayPortugal

Goals and cards

  1. 16' Yellow card J. Ryerson Norway
  2. 17' Goal João Félix (assist Pedro Neto) Portugal
  3. 20' Yellow card Portugal
  4. 47' Yellow card F. Aursnes Norway
  5. 49' Yellow card João Palhinha Portugal
  6. 51' Goal E. Haaland (assist P. Berg) Norway
  7. 54' Goal Gonçalo Ramos Portugal
  8. 65' Yellow card K. Ajer Norway
  9. 67' Yellow card Renato Veiga Portugal
  10. 76' Yellow card Vitinha Portugal
  11. 76' Yellow card João Cancelo Portugal
  12. 87' Yellow card Rúben Dias Portugal
  13. 90+3' Yellow card B. Silva Portugal

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.05
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.43
Over 4.5 goals23%4.33
Under 0.5 goals5%19.62
Under 1.5 goals15%6.66
Under 2.5 goals37%2.73
Under 3.5 goals59%1.70
Under 4.5 goals77%1.30
Both teams to score: Yes64%1.56
Both teams to score: No36%2.78

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.5

Norway 3.5 · Portugal 5.0

Total cornersOverUnder
6.573%27%
7.560%40%
8.547%53%
9.535%65%
10.525%75%

Expected cards: 2.7

Norway 1.3 · Portugal 1.4

Total cardsOverUnder
0.593%7%
1.575%25%
2.550%50%
3.529%71%
4.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.2

Norway 3.0 · Portugal 5.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.557%43%
8.544%56%
9.532%68%
10.522%78%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4418 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.1%
  2. 1–2 9.5%
  3. 0–2 7.2%
  4. 2–1 6.5%
  5. 2–2 6.3%
  6. 1–3 6.2%
  7. 0–1 6.2%
  8. 0–0 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Norway at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
2.2 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.6 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Portugal away

3–2–1 in 6 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Corners
4.5 per game
Shots on target
4.2 per game

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away -1.5 handicap 30% 3.33
Away clean sheet 27% 3.74
Away -0.5 handicap 51% 1.97
Away Over 2.5 team goals 31% 3.24
Away +0.5 handicap 75% 1.33
Draw/Away double chance 75% 1.33
Away Over 1.5 team goals 58% 1.73
Away +1.5 handicap 89% 1.12
Away Over 0.5 team goals 86% 1.17
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.33
Home Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.37
Home +1.5 handicap 70% 1.43
Home +0.5 handicap 49% 2.03
Home/Draw double chance 49% 2.03
Home Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.63
Home clean sheet 14% 7.00
Home -0.5 handicap 25% 4.06
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.79
Home -1.5 handicap 11% 9.12