Jamaica vs Guatemala match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Jamaica beat Guatemala 3–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League A - 2) on 26 September 2026. Jamaica had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Jamaica 45%, the draw 32% and Guatemala 23%.
Jamaica vs Guatemala match statistics
- 58% Ball possession 42%
- 13 Total shots 17
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 7 Shots off target 9
- 2 Blocked shots 5
- 10 Shots inside the box 14
- 1 Corners 2
- 13 Fouls 10
- 0 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 499 Passes 355
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 1' Yellow card D. Lom Guatemala
- 2' Goal Ó. Santis (assist R. Rubín) Guatemala
- 7' Yellow card J. East Jamaica
- 37' Goal K. Palmer Jamaica
- 51' Yellow card K. Dixon Jamaica
- 53' Goal R. Burrell (assist K. Palmer) Jamaica
- 67' Goal Ó. Santis (assist D. Lom) Guatemala
- 72' Yellow card R. King Jamaica
- 84' Yellow card W. Fajardo Guatemala
- 90+4' Goal R. Cephas (assist I. Hayden) Jamaica
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Jamaica fair odds 2.22
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.15
- 23%Guatemala fair odds 4.31
Most likely score 1-1 (14.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 14.25 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.69 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.79 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Jamaica 4.4 · Guatemala 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Jamaica 1.9 · Guatemala 1.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Jamaica 4.2 · Guatemala 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.6%
- 1–0 13.1%
- 0–0 13.0%
- 2–0 9.7%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 0–1 8.2%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 0–2 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Jamaica
Bench J. Lyle , M. Freckleton , A. Knight , K. Dixon , T. Gray , C. Ainsworth , D. Atkinson , B. Cadamarteri , R. Cephas , Courtney Clarke , Brandon Ashley Cover , S. Davis
Guatemala
Bench O. Escobar , C. Estrada , Matthew Evans , W. Fajardo , J. Franco , N. Hagen , K. Ramírez , S. Robles , K. Ruiz , C. Calderón , L. Morán , Ó. Castellanos
Form guide
Jamaica at home
3–2–2 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 7
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Guatemala away
1–2–5 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 8
- Corners
- 1.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.7 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Jamaica vs Guatemala head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jamaica v Guatemala | 0–1 | |
| Jamaica v Guatemala | 3–0 | |
| Guatemala v Jamaica | 0–0 | |
| Guatemala v Jamaica | 0–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.70 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.39 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.61 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.14 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.60 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.17 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.92 |