Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction & stats

Super League · China · Regular Season - 29 · Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou

Henan Jianye stats & fixtures · Beijing Guoan stats & fixtures

Henan Jianye take on Beijing Guoan in the Super League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Beijing Guoan favourites at 39%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%6.48
Under 0.5 goals7%13.53
Under 1.5 goals21%4.67
Under 2.5 goals47%2.15
Under 3.5 goals69%1.45
Under 4.5 goals85%1.18
Both teams to score: Yes58%1.72
Both teams to score: No42%2.39

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.9

Henan Jianye 5.7 · Beijing Guoan 4.2

Total cornersOverUnder
7.575%25%
8.564%36%
9.552%48%
10.541%59%
11.530%70%

Expected cards: 3.8

Henan Jianye 1.8 · Beijing Guoan 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.573%27%
3.553%47%
4.534%66%
5.520%80%

Expected shots on target: 8.9

Henan Jianye 4.7 · Beijing Guoan 4.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.565%35%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (249 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.1%
  2. 1–2 8.9%
  3. 2–1 8.0%
  4. 0–1 7.5%
  5. 0–0 7.4%
  6. 0–2 6.6%
  7. 1–0 6.6%
  8. 2–2 5.7%

Team news & lineups

Henan Jianye

Probable — not confirmed

Beijing Guoan

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Henan Jianye at home

3–4–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.7 per game
Shots on target
5.2 per game

8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Beijing Guoan away

5–5–0 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.4 per game
Shots on target
5.9 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye 1–2
Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan 2–0
Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye 1–0
Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye 1–1
Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan 2–1
Beijing Guoan v Henan Jianye 3–1

The full Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 85% 1.18
Home +1.5 handicap 80% 1.24
Away Over 0.5 team goals 77% 1.30
Home Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.36
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.38
Away +0.5 handicap 67% 1.49
Draw/Away double chance 67% 1.49
Home +0.5 handicap 61% 1.65
Home/Draw double chance 61% 1.65
Away Over 1.5 team goals 43% 2.30
Away -0.5 handicap 39% 2.54
Home Over 1.5 team goals 39% 2.58
Home -0.5 handicap 33% 3.02
Away clean sheet 26% 3.80
Home clean sheet 23% 4.36
Away -1.5 handicap 20% 5.09
Away Over 2.5 team goals 18% 5.41
Home -1.5 handicap 15% 6.46
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.56