Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction & stats
Beijing Guoan stats & fixtures · Qingdao Youth Island stats & fixtures
Beijing Guoan take on Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Beijing Guoan favourites at 70%, with the draw at 19%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction
- 70%Beijing Guoan fair odds 1.43
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.25
- 11%Qingdao Youth Island fair odds 9.17
Most likely score 2-0 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.73 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.00 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 6.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Beijing Guoan 6.1 · Qingdao Youth Island 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Beijing Guoan 1.6 · Qingdao Youth Island 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Beijing Guoan 6.5 · Qingdao Youth Island 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (249 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.5%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–0 9.2%
- 1–1 9.0%
- 3–0 8.5%
- 3–1 7.7%
- 0–0 5.0%
- 4–0 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Beijing Guoan
- 5 Guilherme Ramos Defender
- 34 Hou Sen Goalkeeper
- 26 Bai Yang Defender
- 21 Yue Tze Nam Defender
- 27 Wang Gang Defender
- 9 Zhang Yuning Attacker
- 7 Serginho Midfielder
- 37 Yongjing Cao Midfielder
- 23 Dawhan Midfielder
- 8 A. Konte Midfielder
- 10 Zhang Xizhe Midfielder
Qingdao Youth Island
- 16 Hao Li Goalkeeper
- 22 Gengrui Wang Defender
- 5 Samir Memisevic Defender
- 28 Chengdong Zhang Midfielder
- 8 Xiuwei Zhang Midfielder
- 11 Davidson Midfielder
- 10 Nelson Luz Midfielder
- 2 Bruno Viana Defender
- 9 Aziz Attacker
- 21 Jingchao Meng Midfielder
- 19 Dong Yu Defender
Form guide
Beijing Guoan at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Youth Island away
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island v Beijing Guoan | 1–1 | |
| Qingdao Youth Island v Beijing Guoan | 1–3 | |
| Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island | 1–0 | |
| Qingdao Youth Island v Beijing Guoan | 2–2 | |
| Beijing Guoan v Qingdao Youth Island | 4–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 10.51 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 40% | 2.49 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 30% | 3.34 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.67 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 11% | 9.17 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 26.40 |