Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 12 · Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

Tokyo Verdy stats & fixtures · Avispa Fukuoka stats & fixtures

Tokyo Verdy take on Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Avispa Fukuoka favourites at 37%, with the draw at 34%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 42%.

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (15.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals85%1.18
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals33%3.02
Over 3.5 goals15%6.75
Over 4.5 goals6%18.08
Under 0.5 goals15%6.70
Under 1.5 goals38%2.63
Under 2.5 goals67%1.49
Under 3.5 goals85%1.17
Under 4.5 goals94%1.06
Both teams to score: Yes42%2.37
Both teams to score: No58%1.73

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Tokyo Verdy 4.3 · Avispa Fukuoka 4.6

Total cornersOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.565%35%
8.553%47%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 3.4

Tokyo Verdy 1.3 · Avispa Fukuoka 2.1

Total cardsOverUnder
1.584%16%
2.565%35%
3.543%57%
4.525%75%
5.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 7.7

Tokyo Verdy 3.4 · Avispa Fukuoka 4.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.564%36%
7.551%49%
8.537%63%
9.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 15.3%
  2. 0–0 14.9%
  3. 0–1 12.7%
  4. 1–0 10.5%
  5. 0–2 7.8%
  6. 1–2 7.4%
  7. 2–1 6.2%
  8. 2–0 5.8%

Team news & lineups

Tokyo Verdy

Probable — not confirmed

Avispa Fukuoka

No lineup published yet.

Form guide

Tokyo Verdy at home

1–2–7 in 10 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
2.5 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
2.6 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Avispa Fukuoka away

3–1–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.5 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka 3–4
Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka 0–0
Avispa Fukuoka v Tokyo Verdy 0–0
Avispa Fukuoka v Tokyo Verdy 0–1
Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka 0–0

Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 89% 1.12
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Draw/Away double chance 71% 1.41
Away +0.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Away Over 0.5 team goals 66% 1.50
Home/Away double chance 66% 1.52
Home +0.5 handicap 63% 1.59
Home/Draw double chance 63% 1.59
Home Over 0.5 team goals 61% 1.64
Away clean sheet 39% 2.55
Away -0.5 handicap 37% 2.70
Home clean sheet 34% 2.98
Away Over 1.5 team goals 30% 3.36
Home -0.5 handicap 29% 3.47
Home Over 1.5 team goals 24% 4.15
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.39
Home -1.5 handicap 11% 9.11
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 10.25
Home Over 2.5 team goals 7% 14.42