Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 12 · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima stats & fixtures · Shimizu S-pulse stats & fixtures

Sanfrecce Hiroshima take on Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima favourites at 69%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 12.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 49%.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (12.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.07
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals32%3.10
Over 4.5 goals16%6.13
Under 0.5 goals6%15.48
Under 1.5 goals21%4.84
Under 2.5 goals45%2.22
Under 3.5 goals68%1.48
Under 4.5 goals84%1.20
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.06
Both teams to score: No51%1.95

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6.2 · Shimizu S-pulse 3.2

Total cornersOverUnder
7.570%30%
8.558%42%
9.545%55%
10.534%66%
11.524%76%

Expected cards: 2.9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.1 · Shimizu S-pulse 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
0.594%6%
1.578%22%
2.555%45%
3.534%66%
4.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 8.4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5.8 · Shimizu S-pulse 2.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.559%41%
8.546%54%
9.534%66%
10.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 12.8%
  2. 1–0 11.3%
  3. 2–1 10.4%
  4. 1–1 9.9%
  5. 3–0 8.7%
  6. 3–1 7.0%
  7. 0–0 6.5%
  8. 4–0 4.4%

Form guide

Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home

9–1–0 in 10 matches

Scored
3.2 per game
Conceded
0.6 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
5.6 per game
Shots on target
7.3 per game

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Shimizu S-pulse away

5–0–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.5 per game
Shots on target
3.7 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse 1–1
Shimizu S-pulse v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse 0–0
Shimizu S-pulse v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 97% 1.04
Home/Draw double chance 89% 1.12
Home +0.5 handicap 89% 1.12
Home Over 0.5 team goals 89% 1.13
Home/Away double chance 79% 1.26
Home -0.5 handicap 69% 1.45
Home Over 1.5 team goals 63% 1.59
Away +1.5 handicap 56% 1.78
Away Over 0.5 team goals 54% 1.86
Home clean sheet 46% 2.16
Home -1.5 handicap 44% 2.28
Home Over 2.5 team goals 35% 2.85
Draw/Away double chance 31% 3.20
Away +0.5 handicap 31% 3.20
Away Over 1.5 team goals 18% 5.61
Away clean sheet 11% 8.70
Away -0.5 handicap 11% 9.42
Away Over 2.5 team goals 4% 23.43
Away -1.5 handicap 3% 28.98