Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 12 · Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka stats & fixtures · Kyoto Sanga stats & fixtures

Gamba Osaka take on Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Gamba Osaka favourites at 47%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.77
Over 4.5 goals19%5.21
Under 0.5 goals6%16.67
Under 1.5 goals18%5.58
Under 2.5 goals41%2.43
Under 3.5 goals64%1.57
Under 4.5 goals81%1.24
Both teams to score: Yes61%1.63
Both teams to score: No39%2.58

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.6

Gamba Osaka 5.5 · Kyoto Sanga 4.1

Total cornersOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.537%63%
11.527%73%

Expected cards: 3.5

Gamba Osaka 1.3 · Kyoto Sanga 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
1.586%14%
2.567%33%
3.546%54%
4.528%72%
5.515%85%

Expected shots on target: 9.7

Gamba Osaka 5.2 · Kyoto Sanga 4.5

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.573%27%
8.562%38%
9.550%50%
10.538%62%
11.528%72%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.8%
  2. 2–1 9.7%
  3. 2–0 7.3%
  4. 1–0 7.1%
  5. 1–2 7.0%
  6. 0–0 6.0%
  7. 2–2 5.9%
  8. 3–1 5.5%

Team news & lineups

Gamba Osaka

Probable — not confirmed

Kyoto Sanga

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Gamba Osaka at home

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.6 per game
Shots on target
5.1 per game

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Kyoto Sanga away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.7 per game
Shots on target
3.4 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Kyoto Sanga v Gamba Osaka 1–1
Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga 2–0
Kyoto Sanga v Gamba Osaka 3–1
Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga 2–1
Kyoto Sanga v Gamba Osaka 2–2
Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga 0–0

The full Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.21
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.34
Away +1.5 handicap 74% 1.35
Away Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.37
Home +0.5 handicap 72% 1.38
Home/Draw double chance 72% 1.38
Draw/Away double chance 53% 1.89
Away +0.5 handicap 53% 1.89
Home Over 1.5 team goals 52% 1.92
Home -0.5 handicap 47% 2.13
Away Over 1.5 team goals 37% 2.67
Away -0.5 handicap 28% 3.63
Home clean sheet 27% 3.67
Home -1.5 handicap 26% 3.88
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 3.95
Away clean sheet 18% 5.71
Away Over 2.5 team goals 14% 6.92
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.00