Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 11 · City Light Stadium, Okayama

Fagiano Okayama stats & fixtures · Mito Hollyhock stats & fixtures

Fagiano Okayama take on Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on 21 October 2026. The Ghost makes Fagiano Okayama favourites at 57%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.09
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%3.80
Over 4.5 goals12%8.16
Under 0.5 goals9%11.58
Under 1.5 goals25%3.96
Under 2.5 goals52%1.94
Under 3.5 goals74%1.36
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes50%2.01
Both teams to score: No50%1.99

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Fagiano Okayama 5.3 · Mito Hollyhock 3.6

Total cornersOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.564%36%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 2.8

Fagiano Okayama 1.1 · Mito Hollyhock 1.7

Total cardsOverUnder
0.593%7%
1.576%24%
2.552%48%
3.530%70%
4.515%85%

Expected shots on target: 8.3

Fagiano Okayama 5.3 · Mito Hollyhock 3.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.570%30%
7.557%43%
8.544%56%
9.532%68%
10.522%78%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.4%
  2. 1–0 11.8%
  3. 2–0 11.1%
  4. 2–1 10.2%
  5. 0–0 8.6%
  6. 3–0 6.2%
  7. 3–1 5.7%
  8. 0–1 4.9%

Form guide

Fagiano Okayama at home

6–2–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
6 / 10
Corners
5.2 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Mito Hollyhock away

2–1–7 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.1 per game
Shots on target
2.8 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 94% 1.07
Home/Draw double chance 83% 1.21
Home +0.5 handicap 83% 1.21
Home Over 0.5 team goals 83% 1.21
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Away +1.5 handicap 68% 1.47
Away Over 0.5 team goals 58% 1.71
Home -0.5 handicap 57% 1.76
Home Over 1.5 team goals 52% 1.93
Away +0.5 handicap 43% 2.32
Draw/Away double chance 43% 2.32
Home clean sheet 42% 2.41
Home -1.5 handicap 32% 3.13
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 4.04
Away Over 1.5 team goals 22% 4.56
Away clean sheet 17% 5.73
Away -0.5 handicap 17% 5.83
Away -1.5 handicap 6% 16.24
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 16.71