Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 11 · Toyota Stadium, Toyota City

Nagoya Grampus stats & fixtures · Cerezo Osaka stats & fixtures

Nagoya Grampus take on Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on 21 October 2026. The Ghost makes Nagoya Grampus favourites at 44%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 63%.

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%4.85
Under 0.5 goals6%17.85
Under 1.5 goals17%5.96
Under 2.5 goals39%2.54
Under 3.5 goals62%1.61
Under 4.5 goals79%1.26
Both teams to score: Yes63%1.58
Both teams to score: No37%2.71

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.6

Nagoya Grampus 5.6 · Cerezo Osaka 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.537%63%
11.527%73%

Expected cards: 3.1

Nagoya Grampus 1.0 · Cerezo Osaka 2.1

Total cardsOverUnder
1.580%20%
2.558%42%
3.537%63%
4.520%80%
5.510%90%

Expected shots on target: 9.6

Nagoya Grampus 4.9 · Cerezo Osaka 4.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.561%39%
9.548%52%
10.537%63%
11.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.6%
  2. 2–1 9.3%
  3. 1–2 7.5%
  4. 2–0 6.5%
  5. 1–0 6.3%
  6. 2–2 6.2%
  7. 0–0 5.6%
  8. 3–1 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Nagoya Grampus

Probable — not confirmed

Cerezo Osaka

No lineup published yet.

Form guide

Nagoya Grampus at home

6–2–2 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
6.1 per game
Shots on target
5.9 per game

28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Cerezo Osaka away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.9 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
4.4 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus 6–1
Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka 3–0
Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka 2–1
Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus 1–1
Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus 2–1
Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka 2–1

The full Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 4.07
Home -0.5 handicap 44% 2.28
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.96
Home -1.5 handicap 24% 4.23
Home +0.5 handicap 69% 1.44
Home/Draw double chance 69% 1.44
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.34
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Away Over 0.5 team goals 76% 1.32
Away Over 1.5 team goals 41% 2.42
Away +1.5 handicap 76% 1.31
Away +0.5 handicap 56% 1.78
Draw/Away double chance 56% 1.78
Away -0.5 handicap 31% 3.25
Away Over 2.5 team goals 17% 5.85
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.82
Home clean sheet 24% 4.10
Away clean sheet 18% 5.53