FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 11 · Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo

FC Tokyo stats & fixtures · Kashiwa Reysol stats & fixtures

FC Tokyo take on Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League on 21 October 2026. The Ghost makes FC Tokyo favourites at 50%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 57%.

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.16
Over 4.5 goals16%6.31
Under 0.5 goals7%14.04
Under 1.5 goals21%4.76
Under 2.5 goals46%2.18
Under 3.5 goals68%1.46
Under 4.5 goals84%1.19
Both teams to score: Yes57%1.76
Both teams to score: No43%2.32

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

FC Tokyo 4.8 · Kashiwa Reysol 4.3

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.554%46%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 2.6

FC Tokyo 1.3 · Kashiwa Reysol 1.2

Total cardsOverUnder
0.592%8%
1.572%28%
2.547%53%
3.526%74%
4.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 8.1

FC Tokyo 4.8 · Kashiwa Reysol 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.555%45%
8.541%59%
9.530%70%
10.520%80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.4%
  2. 2–1 10.0%
  3. 1–0 8.8%
  4. 2–0 8.6%
  5. 0–0 7.1%
  6. 1–2 6.3%
  7. 3–1 5.6%
  8. 2–2 5.3%

Form guide

FC Tokyo at home

7–0–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.8 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Kashiwa Reysol away

6–0–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.8 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.8 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Kashiwa Reysol v FC Tokyo 1–3
FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol 0–2
Kashiwa Reysol v FC Tokyo 1–0
FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol 1–1
FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol 0–1
Kashiwa Reysol v FC Tokyo 3–2

The full FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.96
Home Over 2.5 team goals 24% 4.11
Home -1.5 handicap 27% 3.65
Home +0.5 handicap 76% 1.31
Home/Draw double chance 76% 1.31
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Home +1.5 handicap 90% 1.11
Away Over 0.5 team goals 68% 1.47
Away +0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Away +1.5 handicap 73% 1.38
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.19
Draw/Away double chance 50% 2.00
Away -0.5 handicap 24% 4.19
Away Over 2.5 team goals 11% 9.30
Away -1.5 handicap 10% 9.98
Home clean sheet 32% 3.11
Away clean sheet 18% 5.54