Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka prediction & stats

J1 League · Japan · Regular Season - 11 · Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka stats & fixtures · Gamba Osaka stats & fixtures

Avispa Fukuoka take on Gamba Osaka in the J1 League on 21 October 2026. The Ghost makes Avispa Fukuoka favourites at 38%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 53%.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%8.92
Under 0.5 goals10%10.47
Under 1.5 goals27%3.76
Under 2.5 goals54%1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%1.33
Under 4.5 goals89%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes53%1.89
Both teams to score: No47%2.12

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Avispa Fukuoka 5.1 · Gamba Osaka 3.8

Total cornersOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.565%35%
8.553%47%
9.541%59%
10.530%70%

Expected cards: 3.4

Avispa Fukuoka 2.1 · Gamba Osaka 1.3

Total cardsOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.545%55%
4.527%73%
5.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 9.1

Avispa Fukuoka 4.8 · Gamba Osaka 4.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.555%45%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (287 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.2%
  2. 0–0 9.6%
  3. 1–0 9.0%
  4. 2–1 8.4%
  5. 0–1 8.1%
  6. 1–2 7.7%
  7. 2–0 7.0%
  8. 0–2 5.9%

Team news & lineups

Avispa Fukuoka

No lineup published yet.

Gamba Osaka

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Avispa Fukuoka at home

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.3 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Gamba Osaka away

3–4–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Gamba Osaka v Avispa Fukuoka 1–2
Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka 2–2
Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka 1–0
Gamba Osaka v Avispa Fukuoka 2–1
Gamba Osaka v Avispa Fukuoka 2–2
Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka 1–0

The full Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Away +1.5 handicap 82% 1.21
Home Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.37
Home/Away double chance 70% 1.42
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.42
Home/Draw double chance 67% 1.49
Home +0.5 handicap 67% 1.49
Away +0.5 handicap 62% 1.60
Draw/Away double chance 62% 1.60
Home Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.65
Home -0.5 handicap 38% 2.66
Away Over 1.5 team goals 34% 2.93
Away -0.5 handicap 33% 3.06
Home clean sheet 30% 3.35
Away clean sheet 27% 3.71
Home -1.5 handicap 18% 5.67
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.86
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.88
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.10