Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus match stats & report
1–3 Full time
Kashiwa Reysol stats & fixtures · Nagoya Grampus stats & fixtures
Kashiwa Reysol lost to Nagoya Grampus 1–3 in the J1 League on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.03–1.07. Kashiwa Reysol had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kashiwa Reysol 51%, the draw 25% and Nagoya Grampus 24%.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus match statistics
- 59% Ball possession 41%
- 1.03 Expected goals (xG) 1.07
- 15 Total shots 9
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 6 Blocked shots 0
- 7 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 2
- 11 Fouls 10
- 1 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 609 Passes 422
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal T. Uchida (assist Y. Kimura) Nagoya Grampus
- 16' Yellow card Y. Koizumi Kashiwa Reysol
- 23' Goal K. Endo (assist S. Fujio) Kashiwa Reysol
- 36' Goal Y. Kimura (assist K. Nagai) Nagoya Grampus
- 52' Yellow card D. Sugioka Kashiwa Reysol
- 79' Goal Y. Yamagishi (assist H. Koda) Nagoya Grampus
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 51%Kashiwa Reysol fair odds 1.95
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 24%Nagoya Grampus fair odds 4.24
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.46 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.05 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.46 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Kashiwa Reysol 5.1 · Nagoya Grampus 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 2.7
Kashiwa Reysol 1.6 · Nagoya Grampus 1.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Kashiwa Reysol 5.6 · Nagoya Grampus 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (288 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–1 10.1%
- 2–0 8.3%
- 1–0 8.0%
- 1–2 6.3%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Kashiwa Reysol
Bench Y. Segawa , K. Yuba , Shusuke Furuya, W. Harada , R. Harakawa , M. Hosoya , H. Mitsumaru , K. Nagai , H. Nakama
Nagoya Grampus
Bench T. Koyamatsu , Mateus , K. Nakayama , M. Ono , A. Pisano , Y. Sato , S. Tokumoto , Y. Yamagishi , H. Koda
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nagoya Grampus away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus | 1–0 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Kashiwa Reysol | 1–2 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Kashiwa Reysol | 2–1 | |
| Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus | 0–2 | |
| Nagoya Grampus v Kashiwa Reysol | 1–1 | |
| Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus | 0–3 |
The full Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.24 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.06 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.06 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.13 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.02 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.90 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.45 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.27 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.70 |