Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Kyoto Sanga stats & fixtures · Machida Zelvia stats & fixtures
Kyoto Sanga lost to Machida Zelvia 0–1 in the J1 League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.11–0.74. Machida Zelvia had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kyoto Sanga 26%, the draw 26% and Machida Zelvia 48%.
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia match statistics
- 38% Ball possession 62%
- 1.11 Expected goals (xG) 0.74
- 17 Total shots 13
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 6 Shots off target 3
- 7 Blocked shots 5
- 12 Shots inside the box 8
- 4 Corners 10
- 16 Fouls 6
- 6 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 343 Passes 547
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 26' Yellow card T. Yengi Machida Zelvia
- 70' Yellow card Everton Kyoto Sanga
- 70' Yellow card Kyoto Sanga
- 86' Goal T. Akimoto Machida Zelvia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 26%Kyoto Sanga fair odds 3.88
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.84
- 48%Machida Zelvia fair odds 2.07
Most likely score 1-1 (12.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.85 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.06 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.43 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Kyoto Sanga 4.1 · Machida Zelvia 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.0
Kyoto Sanga 1.7 · Machida Zelvia 1.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Kyoto Sanga 4.4 · Machida Zelvia 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (280 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.3%
- 1–2 9.8%
- 0–1 8.0%
- 0–2 8.0%
- 2–1 6.7%
- 0–0 6.7%
- 2–2 5.6%
- 1–3 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Kyoto Sanga
Bench Everton , F. Honda , Marco Túlio , G. Ota , T. Shichi , H. Tawiah , T. Yonemoto , Yoon Sung-Jun , Alex Negueba
Machida Zelvia
Bench M. Duke , R. Kikuchi , N. Lavi , H. Mochizuki , T. Morita , R. Shirasaki , Futa Tokumura , I. Drešević , T. Akimoto
Form guide
Kyoto Sanga at home
4–0–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Machida Zelvia away
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia v Kyoto Sanga | 0–0 | |
| Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia | 1–1 | |
| Machida Zelvia v Kyoto Sanga | 1–2 | |
| Machida Zelvia v Kyoto Sanga | 1–0 | |
| Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia | 0–3 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.08 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.10 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.88 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.90 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 |