Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Avispa Fukuoka stats & fixtures · Fagiano Okayama stats & fixtures
Avispa Fukuoka beat Fagiano Okayama 2–1 in the J1 League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.04–0.63. Fagiano Okayama had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Avispa Fukuoka 37%, the draw 31% and Fagiano Okayama 31%.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama match statistics
- 41% Ball possession 59%
- 1.04 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
- 11 Total shots 10
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 3
- 2 Corners 3
- 13 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 5
- 4 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 303 Passes 436
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal Y. Maejima (assist K. Shiihashi) Avispa Fukuoka
- 36' Yellow card Y. Kamiya Fagiano Okayama
- 47' Yellow card M. Shigemi Avispa Fukuoka
- 61' Goal K. Shirai (assist Y. Tatsuta) Fagiano Okayama
- 67' Yellow card Y. Tsujioka Avispa Fukuoka
- 76' Goal Y. Hashimoto Avispa Fukuoka
- 82' Yellow card Y. Kitajima Avispa Fukuoka
- 90+1' Yellow card N. Browne Fagiano Okayama
- 90+4' Yellow card A. Sani Brown Avispa Fukuoka
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 37%Avispa Fukuoka fair odds 2.68
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.19
- 31%Fagiano Okayama fair odds 3.19
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.89 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.62 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.95 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.0
Avispa Fukuoka 4.6 · Fagiano Okayama 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.0
Avispa Fukuoka 1.6 · Fagiano Okayama 1.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Avispa Fukuoka 4.5 · Fagiano Okayama 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (280 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 11.5%
- 1–0 10.4%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 2–1 8.1%
- 2–0 7.3%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–2 6.0%
Team news & lineups
Avispa Fukuoka
Bench K. Yamawaki , Shohei Takemoto , S. Nago , T. Nagaishi , D. Miya , Y. Kitajima , Y. Hashimoto , A. Sani Brown , H. Akino
Fagiano Okayama
Bench R. Takeuchi , N. Browne , Y. Suzuki , A. Esaka , Y. Fujii , T. Hamada , M. Matsumoto , E. Miyamoto , R. Sato
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fagiano Okayama away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 6.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama v Avispa Fukuoka | 2–0 | |
| Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama | 1–1 | |
| Fagiano Okayama v Avispa Fukuoka | 0–1 | |
| Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama | 1–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.68 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.03 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.00 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.95 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.19 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.00 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.59 |