PAOK vs Kalamata match stats & report
1–3 Full time
PAOK lost to Kalamata 1–3 in the Super League 1 on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.23–2.35. PAOK had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave PAOK 71%, the draw 19% and Kalamata 10%.
PAOK vs Kalamata match statistics
- 61% Ball possession 39%
- 1.23 Expected goals (xG) 2.35
- 19 Total shots 12
- 5 Shots on target 6
- 9 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 1
- 12 Shots inside the box 8
- 7 Corners 2
- 8 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 505 Passes 324
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 28' Penalty scored K. Vargas Kalamata
- 43' Yellow card G. Piñeiro Kalamata
- 44' Goal C. Ndiaye PAOK
- 56' Goal K. Vargas (assist Julio Alonso) Kalamata
- 60' Yellow card D. Kurminowski Kalamata
- 62' Red card A. Tsiftsis PAOK
- 66' Goal D. Kurminowski (assist Julio Alonso) Kalamata
- 89' Yellow card Elustondo PAOK
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 71%PAOK fair odds 1.41
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.28
- 10%Kalamata fair odds 9.98
Most likely score 2-0 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.79 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
PAOK 6.0 · Kalamata 2.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 5.0
PAOK 1.9 · Kalamata 3.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 7.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
PAOK 5.7 · Kalamata 2.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (235 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 12.2%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 1–0 9.9%
- 1–1 9.0%
- 3–0 8.9%
- 3–1 7.6%
- 0–0 5.3%
- 4–0 4.9%
Team news & lineups
PAOK
Bench M. Camara , S. Banza , Elustondo , D. Giannoulis , P. Hatzidiakos , D. Monastirlis , A. Mythou , B. Santamaría , S. Shoretire , G. Taylor , O. Ugresić , A. Živković
Kalamata
Bench A. Sigurdsson , Josete Miranda , A. Liatsikouras , U. Ignjatović , A. Guessand , P. Ginis , I. Gelios , I. Chatzitheodoridis , J. Cataldi , J. Bonetto , M. J. Bakayoko , M. Soumahoro
Form guide
PAOK at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kalamata away
2–1–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 4
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 29% | 3.45 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.18 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.71 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 10.34 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Home clean sheet | 44% | 2.25 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 10% | 9.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 29.94 |