Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction & stats

Süper Lig · Turkey · Regular Season - 8 · Ref F. Tokail

Kasımpaşa stats & fixtures · Samsunspor stats & fixtures

Kasımpaşa take on Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Kasımpaşa favourites at 39%, with the draw at 31%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals89%1.12
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals43%2.31
Over 3.5 goals22%4.49
Over 4.5 goals10%10.32
Under 0.5 goals11%9.45
Under 1.5 goals29%3.45
Under 2.5 goals57%1.76
Under 3.5 goals78%1.29
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes50%1.99
Both teams to score: No50%2.01

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.3

Kasımpaşa 4.3 · Samsunspor 4.9

Total cornersOverUnder
7.569%31%
8.557%43%
9.544%56%
10.533%67%
11.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.8

Kasımpaşa 2.5 · Samsunspor 2.3

Total cardsOverUnder
2.585%15%
3.569%31%
4.552%48%
5.535%65%
6.521%79%

Expected shots on target: 7.6

Kasımpaşa 3.7 · Samsunspor 3.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.575%25%
6.562%38%
7.548%52%
8.535%65%
9.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.5%
  2. 0–0 10.6%
  3. 1–0 10.1%
  4. 2–1 8.5%
  5. 0–1 8.3%
  6. 2–0 7.6%
  7. 1–2 7.2%
  8. 0–2 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Kasımpaşa

Probable — not confirmed

Samsunspor

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • J. Assoumou Samsunspor Out — Muscle Injury
  • K. Corekci Kasımpaşa Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • A. Karapo Kasımpaşa Doubtful — Injury
  • M. Ouanes Kasımpaşa Doubtful — Muscle Injury
  • C. Yuksel Samsunspor Doubtful — Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Kasımpaşa at home

4–6–0 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.6 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
3.8 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Samsunspor away

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.4 per game

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor 3–0
Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor 0–1
Samsunspor v Kasımpaşa 0–0
Samsunspor v Kasımpaşa 0–2
Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor 1–4
Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor 1–0

The full Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home clean sheet 33% 3.04
Home +0.5 handicap 70% 1.43
Home/Draw double chance 70% 1.43
Home -0.5 handicap 39% 2.54
Home +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Away +0.5 handicap 61% 1.65
Away +1.5 handicap 82% 1.23
Home Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.38
Away clean sheet 27% 3.66
Draw/Away double chance 61% 1.65
Home/Away double chance 69% 1.44
Home Over 1.5 team goals 37% 2.69
Home -1.5 handicap 18% 5.44
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Away -0.5 handicap 30% 3.31
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.27
Home Over 2.5 team goals 14% 7.06
Away -1.5 handicap 13% 7.84
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.75